Persistent supply constraints for the RTX 5090, stemming from ongoing GDDR7 memory shortages and NVIDIA's confirmed production limits extending into late 2026, underpin trader focus on end-of-September rental rates. High AI workload demand for its 32 GB GDDR7 and improved inference throughput sustains median on-demand pricing near $0.50–$0.70 per hour across platforms like Vast.ai and RunPod, while spot rates dip lower. Competitive pressure from abundant RTX 4090 inventory and enterprise alternatives creates downward pull, yet limited new hardware inflows and strong consumer-cloud utilization keep the $0.45–$0.55 range tightly contested. Key swing factors include any September restocks or shifts in spot-instance availability that could tip the narrow market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$0.50-$0.55 36%
$0.45-$0.50 33%
$0.60+ 12%
$0.40-$0.45 7.3%
$12,232 Vol.
$12,232 Vol.
<$0.40
6%
$0.40-$0.45
7%
$0.45-$0.50
33%
$0.50-$0.55
36%
$0.55-$0.60
7%
$0.60+
16%
$0.50-$0.55 36%
$0.45-$0.50 33%
$0.60+ 12%
$0.40-$0.45 7.3%
$12,232 Vol.
$12,232 Vol.
<$0.40
6%
$0.40-$0.45
7%
$0.45-$0.50
33%
$0.50-$0.55
36%
$0.55-$0.60
7%
$0.60+
16%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent supply constraints for the RTX 5090, stemming from ongoing GDDR7 memory shortages and NVIDIA's confirmed production limits extending into late 2026, underpin trader focus on end-of-September rental rates. High AI workload demand for its 32 GB GDDR7 and improved inference throughput sustains median on-demand pricing near $0.50–$0.70 per hour across platforms like Vast.ai and RunPod, while spot rates dip lower. Competitive pressure from abundant RTX 4090 inventory and enterprise alternatives creates downward pull, yet limited new hardware inflows and strong consumer-cloud utilization keep the $0.45–$0.55 range tightly contested. Key swing factors include any September restocks or shifts in spot-instance availability that could tip the narrow market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions