Increased supply of newer Blackwell-series GPUs like the B200 has eased capacity constraints for AI workloads, shifting demand away from legacy A100 cards and exerting modest downward pressure on their rental rates. Current marketplace data shows A100 80GB instances trading in a $1.09–$2.00 range on specialist platforms, with hyperscaler quotes higher but trending stable as organizations prioritize cost-efficient inference and fine-tuning on Ampere hardware. This dynamic underpins the 69% market-implied probability for the $1.00–$1.25 band by end-September, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-$1.00 or $1.25+ outcomes reflect limited near-term catalysts for sharp moves absent major supply disruptions or unexpected demand surges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 69%
$0.75-$1.00 22%
$1.25-$1.50 7.0%
$0.50-$0.75 3.5%
$19,290 Vol.
$19,290 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
4%
$0.75-$1.00
22%
$1.00-$1.25
69%
$1.25-$1.50
7%
$1.50+
1%
$1.00-$1.25 69%
$0.75-$1.00 22%
$1.25-$1.50 7.0%
$0.50-$0.75 3.5%
$19,290 Vol.
$19,290 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$0.50
$1,546 Vol.
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
$1,065 Vol.
4%
$0.75-$1.00
$3,837 Vol.
22%
$1.00-$1.25
$8,994 Vol.
69%
$1.25-$1.50
$2,029 Vol.
7%
$1.50+
$1,818 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply of newer Blackwell-series GPUs like the B200 has eased capacity constraints for AI workloads, shifting demand away from legacy A100 cards and exerting modest downward pressure on their rental rates. Current marketplace data shows A100 80GB instances trading in a $1.09–$2.00 range on specialist platforms, with hyperscaler quotes higher but trending stable as organizations prioritize cost-efficient inference and fine-tuning on Ampere hardware. This dynamic underpins the 69% market-implied probability for the $1.00–$1.25 band by end-September, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-$1.00 or $1.25+ outcomes reflect limited near-term catalysts for sharp moves absent major supply disruptions or unexpected demand surges.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
Volume
$19,290End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply of newer Blackwell-series GPUs like the B200 has eased capacity constraints for AI workloads, shifting demand away from legacy A100 cards and exerting modest downward pressure on their rental rates. Current marketplace data shows A100 80GB instances trading in a $1.09–$2.00 range on specialist platforms, with hyperscaler quotes higher but trending stable as organizations prioritize cost-efficient inference and fine-tuning on Ampere hardware. This dynamic underpins the 69% market-implied probability for the $1.00–$1.25 band by end-September, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-$1.00 or $1.25+ outcomes reflect limited near-term catalysts for sharp moves absent major supply disruptions or unexpected demand surges.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$19,290End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:37 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Increased supply of newer Blackwell-series GPUs like the B200 has eased capacity constraints for AI workloads, shifting demand away from legacy A100 cards and exerting modest downward pressure on their rental rates. Current marketplace data shows A100 80GB instances trading in a $1.09–$2.00 range on specialist platforms, with hyperscaler quotes higher but trending stable as organizations prioritize cost-efficient inference and fine-tuning on Ampere hardware. This dynamic underpins the 69% market-implied probability for the $1.00–$1.25 band by end-September, while the smaller probabilities assigned to sub-$1.00 or $1.25+ outcomes reflect limited near-term catalysts for sharp moves absent major supply disruptions or unexpected demand surges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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