Abundant supply of mature NVIDIA A100 GPUs across cloud providers, paired with enterprises shifting AI workloads to newer Hopper and Blackwell chips, anchors trader consensus on the $1.00-$1.25 hourly rental band at end-October. Current on-demand rates cluster near $0.89–$1.90 per GPU-hour, with marketplace medians around $1.36 and spot availability as low as $0.68. Capacity constraints on high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging continue to limit flagship supply while sustaining baseline demand for A100-based inference and fine-tuning. No acute shortages or major policy shifts have emerged recently to drive sharp price moves. Traders see the narrow range reflecting stable availability through fall, though last-minute hyperscaler purchases or inference spikes remain possible swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 61%
$0.75-$1.00 23%
$1.25-$1.50 13%
$1.50+ 1.4%
$12,993 Vol.
$12,993 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
1%
$0.75-$1.00
23%
$1.00-$1.25
61%
$1.25-$1.50
13%
$1.50+
1%
$1.00-$1.25 61%
$0.75-$1.00 23%
$1.25-$1.50 13%
$1.50+ 1.4%
$12,993 Vol.
$12,993 Vol.
<$0.50
<1%
$0.50-$0.75
1%
$0.75-$1.00
23%
$1.00-$1.25
61%
$1.25-$1.50
13%
$1.50+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abundant supply of mature NVIDIA A100 GPUs across cloud providers, paired with enterprises shifting AI workloads to newer Hopper and Blackwell chips, anchors trader consensus on the $1.00-$1.25 hourly rental band at end-October. Current on-demand rates cluster near $0.89–$1.90 per GPU-hour, with marketplace medians around $1.36 and spot availability as low as $0.68. Capacity constraints on high-bandwidth memory and advanced packaging continue to limit flagship supply while sustaining baseline demand for A100-based inference and fine-tuning. No acute shortages or major policy shifts have emerged recently to drive sharp price moves. Traders see the narrow range reflecting stable availability through fall, though last-minute hyperscaler purchases or inference spikes remain possible swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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