Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026, primary with roughly 48% of the vote, defeating a crowded field that included DeSantis’s lieutenant governor. His early endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among GOP voters in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial contest since 1998. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican congressman, won his party’s primary with about 61% but enters the November 3 general election facing structural headwinds in a state that has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles. Most nonpartisan polling and race ratings show Donalds leading by mid-single digits, reflecting Florida’s partisan balance and the absence of major late-breaking developments capable of narrowing the gap. Trader consensus in the market prices these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent significant shifts in turnout or campaign momentum before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$57,664 Vol.
$57,664 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
81%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$57,664 Vol.
$57,664 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$26,760 Vol.
81%
David Jolly (D)
$30,904 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026, primary with roughly 48% of the vote, defeating a crowded field that included DeSantis’s lieutenant governor. His early endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among GOP voters in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial contest since 1998. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican congressman, won his party’s primary with about 61% but enters the November 3 general election facing structural headwinds in a state that has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles. Most nonpartisan polling and race ratings show Donalds leading by mid-single digits, reflecting Florida’s partisan balance and the absence of major late-breaking developments capable of narrowing the gap. Trader consensus in the market prices these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent significant shifts in turnout or campaign momentum before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$57,664End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026, primary with roughly 48% of the vote, defeating a crowded field that included DeSantis’s lieutenant governor. His early endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among GOP voters in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial contest since 1998. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican congressman, won his party’s primary with about 61% but enters the November 3 general election facing structural headwinds in a state that has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles. Most nonpartisan polling and race ratings show Donalds leading by mid-single digits, reflecting Florida’s partisan balance and the absence of major late-breaking developments capable of narrowing the gap. Trader consensus in the market prices these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent significant shifts in turnout or campaign momentum before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$57,664End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Byron Donalds secured the Republican nomination for Florida governor in the August 18, 2026, primary with roughly 48% of the vote, defeating a crowded field that included DeSantis’s lieutenant governor. His early endorsement from President Trump consolidated support among GOP voters in a state where Republicans have won every gubernatorial contest since 1998. Democrat David Jolly, a former Republican congressman, won his party’s primary with about 61% but enters the November 3 general election facing structural headwinds in a state that has trended solidly Republican in recent cycles. Most nonpartisan polling and race ratings show Donalds leading by mid-single digits, reflecting Florida’s partisan balance and the absence of major late-breaking developments capable of narrowing the gap. Trader consensus in the market prices these fundamentals, with limited volatility expected absent significant shifts in turnout or campaign momentum before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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