Recent polls, including the final Infratest dimap survey for ARD conducted August 24–25, show the AfD at 42% (up 1 point from July), far ahead of the CDU at 22% (down 2 points to a record low). Other parties trail with the Left at 11%, SPD at 8%, Greens at 6%, and BSW/FDP below the 5% threshold. The September 6 election is only days away, with roughly 10% of voters still undecided. These figures point to the AfD roughly doubling its 2021 result while the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition weakens sharply. Seat projections based on current trends and entry patterns cluster around 38–41 mandates out of 83 total, as smaller parties’ likely exclusion modestly boosts the AfD’s share without delivering an absolute majority. Traders have priced the latest polling stability and the absence of major late shifts into the leading 38–41 outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38-41 59%
42-45 20%
46-49 6.3%
34-37 3.6%
$29,919 Vol.
$29,919 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
2%
34-37
4%
38-41
59%
42-45
20%
46-49
6%
50+
2%
38-41 59%
42-45 20%
46-49 6.3%
34-37 3.6%
$29,919 Vol.
$29,919 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<34
$4,175 Vol.
2%
34-37
$6,085 Vol.
4%
38-41
$6,477 Vol.
59%
42-45
$5,511 Vol.
20%
46-49
$3,669 Vol.
6%
50+
$4,003 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls, including the final Infratest dimap survey for ARD conducted August 24–25, show the AfD at 42% (up 1 point from July), far ahead of the CDU at 22% (down 2 points to a record low). Other parties trail with the Left at 11%, SPD at 8%, Greens at 6%, and BSW/FDP below the 5% threshold. The September 6 election is only days away, with roughly 10% of voters still undecided.
These figures point to the AfD roughly doubling its 2021 result while the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition weakens sharply. Seat projections based on current trends and entry patterns cluster around 38–41 mandates out of 83 total, as smaller parties’ likely exclusion modestly boosts the AfD’s share without delivering an absolute majority. Traders have priced the latest polling stability and the absence of major late shifts into the leading 38–41 outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
Volume
$29,919End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polls, including the final Infratest dimap survey for ARD conducted August 24–25, show the AfD at 42% (up 1 point from July), far ahead of the CDU at 22% (down 2 points to a record low). Other parties trail with the Left at 11%, SPD at 8%, Greens at 6%, and BSW/FDP below the 5% threshold. The September 6 election is only days away, with roughly 10% of voters still undecided.
These figures point to the AfD roughly doubling its 2021 result while the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition weakens sharply. Seat projections based on current trends and entry patterns cluster around 38–41 mandates out of 83 total, as smaller parties’ likely exclusion modestly boosts the AfD’s share without delivering an absolute majority. Traders have priced the latest polling stability and the absence of major late shifts into the leading 38–41 outcome.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election.
If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$29,919End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including the final Infratest dimap survey for ARD conducted August 24–25, show the AfD at 42% (up 1 point from July), far ahead of the CDU at 22% (down 2 points to a record low). Other parties trail with the Left at 11%, SPD at 8%, Greens at 6%, and BSW/FDP below the 5% threshold. The September 6 election is only days away, with roughly 10% of voters still undecided. These figures point to the AfD roughly doubling its 2021 result while the current CDU-SPD-FDP coalition weakens sharply. Seat projections based on current trends and entry patterns cluster around 38–41 mandates out of 83 total, as smaller parties’ likely exclusion modestly boosts the AfD’s share without delivering an absolute majority. Traders have priced the latest polling stability and the absence of major late shifts into the leading 38–41 outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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