Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show Bündnis 90/Die Grünen consistently between 4% and 6%, with the latest Infratest dimap survey (August 24–25) placing them at 6% after a one-point gain, while INSA and pollytix readings from early to mid-August hover at 4–5%. This positioning keeps the 5–7% band as the modal outcome in trader consensus. The Greens’ campaign has centered on clearing the five-percent threshold to secure seats and fragment the vote, a factor tied to preventing an AfD majority; recent surveys also show modest concurrent gains for the SPD. Persistent AfD strength near 42% and CDU weakness around 22% have not shifted Green support materially outside this narrow band in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5-7% 55%
3-5% 39%
7%+ 7.8%
<3% 2.4%
$20,208 Vol.
$20,208 Vol.
<3%
2%
3-5%
39%
5-7%
55%
7%+
8%
5-7% 55%
3-5% 39%
7%+ 7.8%
<3% 2.4%
$20,208 Vol.
$20,208 Vol.
<3%
2%
3-5%
39%
5-7%
55%
7%+
8%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show Bündnis 90/Die Grünen consistently between 4% and 6%, with the latest Infratest dimap survey (August 24–25) placing them at 6% after a one-point gain, while INSA and pollytix readings from early to mid-August hover at 4–5%. This positioning keeps the 5–7% band as the modal outcome in trader consensus. The Greens’ campaign has centered on clearing the five-percent threshold to secure seats and fragment the vote, a factor tied to preventing an AfD majority; recent surveys also show modest concurrent gains for the SPD. Persistent AfD strength near 42% and CDU weakness around 22% have not shifted Green support materially outside this narrow band in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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