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icon for Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 100.0%

Troy Green <1%

Jim Priest <1%

Rebekah LaVann <1%

Polymarket

$134,810 Vol.

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 100.0%

Troy Green <1%

Jim Priest <1%

Rebekah LaVann <1%

Polymarket

$134,810 Vol.

icon for N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

$88,649 Vol.

Yes

icon for Troy Green

Troy Green

$9,672 Vol.

No

icon for Jim Priest

Jim Priest

$29,840 Vol.

No

icon for Rebekah LaVann

Rebekah LaVann

$6,649 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas captured the Democratic nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat by winning the August 25 runoff with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Jim Priest. She had led the five-candidate June primary with 45 percent, advancing despite limited fundraising and opposition from more establishment-aligned Democrats. Thomas’s performance as a nurse and Chickasaw Nation citizen emphasizing progressive priorities such as expanded healthcare access consolidated support among primary voters seeking an alternative to the moderate frontrunner. With the runoff certified and no remaining ballots or legal challenges reported, trader consensus assigns her near-certain probability of being listed as the nominee. A reversal would require an unprecedented recount, eligibility dispute, or court intervention altering the certified results.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$134,810
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas captured the Democratic nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat by winning the August 25 runoff with roughly 61 percent of the vote against Jim Priest. She had led the five-candidate June primary with 45 percent, advancing despite limited fundraising and opposition from more establishment-aligned Democrats. Thomas’s performance as a nurse and Chickasaw Nation citizen emphasizing progressive priorities such as expanded healthcare access consolidated support among primary voters seeking an alternative to the moderate frontrunner. With the runoff certified and no remaining ballots or legal challenges reported, trader consensus assigns her near-certain probability of being listed as the nominee. A reversal would require an unprecedented recount, eligibility dispute, or court intervention altering the certified results.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$134,810
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 100%, followed by "Troy Green" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $134.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Troy Green" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.