Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 26?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,889 Vol.
$3,889 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$3,889 Vol.
$3,889 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$327 Vol.
No
23°C
$85 Vol.
No
24°C
$295 Vol.
No
25°C
$239 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$271 Vol.
No
27°C
$491 Vol.
No
28°C
$111 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,265 Vol.
No
30°C
$305 Vol.
No
31°C
$80 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$3,889End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,889End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting numerical models show Busan’s minimum temperature on August 26 settling near 25 °C. Persistent high humidity, light variable winds, and partial cloud cover have limited nocturnal radiative cooling while a warm, moist air mass remains in place, consistent with the ongoing tropical-night pattern observed since mid-August. This combination produces a tightly constrained overnight low that aligns with the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for exactly 25 °C. Clearer skies than anticipated or an unexpected northerly wind shift drawing slightly cooler air from inland could push readings a degree lower, though current model consensus and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before the day ends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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