**Current forecasts for Busan on August 29, 2026, indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, high dew points near 26°C, and widespread cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Southerly to southwesterly winds advect moist air from the East China Sea, sustaining elevated nighttime temperatures in this coastal location. Official guidance and ensemble models (including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in available outlooks) show little change from recent days, with highs around 29–30°C and minimal diurnal range due to the ongoing late-summer pattern. Historical August normals place typical lows near 23–24°C, but 2026 conditions have trended warmer overall, with recent observations confirming overnight readings in the mid-to-upper 20s°C amid frequent rain. No significant frontal passage or cooler air intrusion is expected in the next 48 hours, though model spread and potential for heavier rainfall could introduce minor variability. The market’s emphasis on the 22°C-or-below outcome alongside 26°C reflects trader assessment of these dynamics and uncertainty around exact measurement timing or localized effects, with upcoming KMA updates and new model cycles likely to influence positioning before resolution.