Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daytime maximum on August 26 will reach approximately 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official guidance highlights morning cloud cover giving way to clearer afternoon conditions without significant precipitation or strong advection that would push temperatures higher. With the day well advanced and observed readings aligning closely with projections, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining uncertainty range typical of short-term surface temperature forecasts. Only an unforecasted late surge in insolation or measurement anomaly at official stations could realistically alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 26?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,896 Vol.
$68,896 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$68,896 Vol.
$68,896 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
21°C or below
$1,415 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,030 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,635 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,679 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,227 Vol.
No
26°C
$10,798 Vol.
No
27°C
$16,097 Vol.
No
28°C
$14,559 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$7,063 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,531 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$863 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daytime maximum on August 26 will reach approximately 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official guidance highlights morning cloud cover giving way to clearer afternoon conditions without significant precipitation or strong advection that would push temperatures higher. With the day well advanced and observed readings aligning closely with projections, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining uncertainty range typical of short-term surface temperature forecasts. Only an unforecasted late surge in insolation or measurement anomaly at official stations could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$68,896End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daytime maximum on August 26 will reach approximately 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official guidance highlights morning cloud cover giving way to clearer afternoon conditions without significant precipitation or strong advection that would push temperatures higher. With the day well advanced and observed readings aligning closely with projections, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining uncertainty range typical of short-term surface temperature forecasts. Only an unforecasted late surge in insolation or measurement anomaly at official stations could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$68,896End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models indicate Munich's daytime maximum on August 26 will reach approximately 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, consistent with late-summer conditions and supporting the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official guidance highlights morning cloud cover giving way to clearer afternoon conditions without significant precipitation or strong advection that would push temperatures higher. With the day well advanced and observed readings aligning closely with projections, trader consensus reflects the narrow remaining uncertainty range typical of short-term surface temperature forecasts. Only an unforecasted late surge in insolation or measurement anomaly at official stations could realistically alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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