**The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C reflects the official high temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026, by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations.** Cloudy skies, widespread showers, and high humidity kept afternoon readings from climbing higher, aligning with observed values around 20–23°C across multiple monitoring sites and model outputs. This outcome fits within typical late-summer variability for the high-elevation basin, where convective activity and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Only an unexpected revision to the primary station data or a different measurement protocol could realistically shift resolution away from this consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,852 Vol.
$22,852 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$22,852 Vol.
$22,852 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
16°C or below
$784 Vol.
No
17°C
$404 Vol.
No
18°C
$300 Vol.
No
19°C
$256 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,878 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,572 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,172 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$3,126 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,111 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,229 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,019 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C reflects the official high temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026, by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations.** Cloudy skies, widespread showers, and high humidity kept afternoon readings from climbing higher, aligning with observed values around 20–23°C across multiple monitoring sites and model outputs. This outcome fits within typical late-summer variability for the high-elevation basin, where convective activity and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Only an unexpected revision to the primary station data or a different measurement protocol could realistically shift resolution away from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$22,852End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C reflects the official high temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026, by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations.** Cloudy skies, widespread showers, and high humidity kept afternoon readings from climbing higher, aligning with observed values around 20–23°C across multiple monitoring sites and model outputs. This outcome fits within typical late-summer variability for the high-elevation basin, where convective activity and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Only an unexpected revision to the primary station data or a different measurement protocol could realistically shift resolution away from this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,852End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**The market's near-certain positioning on 22°C reflects the official high temperature recorded in Mexico City on August 25, 2026, by Servicio Meteorológico Nacional stations.** Cloudy skies, widespread showers, and high humidity kept afternoon readings from climbing higher, aligning with observed values around 20–23°C across multiple monitoring sites and model outputs. This outcome fits within typical late-summer variability for the high-elevation basin, where convective activity and cloud cover frequently cap daytime maxima. Only an unexpected revision to the primary station data or a different measurement protocol could realistically shift resolution away from this consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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