Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Mexico City highs on August 28, 2026, will likely peak near 23–25°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and 35–75% chances of light rain or thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating and align with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C maxima at the city’s high elevation. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects this consensus, while the secondary weight on 26°C accounts for potential clearing periods that could allow brief warming. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine whether convective activity suppresses peaks further or permits a push toward the upper end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 28?
25°C 55%
26°C 22%
24°C 19%
22°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
19%
25°C
55%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 55%
26°C 22%
24°C 19%
22°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
3%
21°C
$55 Vol.
4%
22°C
$65 Vol.
6%
23°C
$105 Vol.
5%
24°C
$131 Vol.
19%
25°C
$205 Vol.
55%
26°C
$39 Vol.
22%
27°C
$5 Vol.
5%
28°C
$5 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$85 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Mexico City highs on August 28, 2026, will likely peak near 23–25°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and 35–75% chances of light rain or thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating and align with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C maxima at the city’s high elevation. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects this consensus, while the secondary weight on 26°C accounts for potential clearing periods that could allow brief warming. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine whether convective activity suppresses peaks further or permits a push toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Mexico City highs on August 28, 2026, will likely peak near 23–25°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and 35–75% chances of light rain or thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating and align with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C maxima at the city’s high elevation. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects this consensus, while the secondary weight on 26°C accounts for potential clearing periods that could allow brief warming. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine whether convective activity suppresses peaks further or permits a push toward the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and global models indicate Mexico City highs on August 28, 2026, will likely peak near 23–25°C amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and 35–75% chances of light rain or thunderstorms. These conditions limit solar heating and align with typical late-August climatology of 24–26°C maxima at the city’s high elevation. Trader emphasis on 25°C reflects this consensus, while the secondary weight on 26°C accounts for potential clearing periods that could allow brief warming. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine whether convective activity suppresses peaks further or permits a push toward the upper end of the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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