Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on energy price volatility amid Bank of Canada projections for an average near 2.5%. Recent headline prints rose to 3.2% in May and 3.0% in July 2026, driven by gasoline surges from Middle East supply disruptions that pushed oil above $75 per barrel at times, though core measures held near 2%. Offsetting factors include economic slack, subdued shelter and services inflation, and a policy rate held at 2.25% to support below-potential growth. The Canadian dollar's depreciation adds import cost pressure, while forecasts assume oil futures moderate later in the year. Outcomes above 3% gain odds if geopolitical risks persist, while sub-2% readings would require faster disinflation from excess capacity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 32.9%
3.0-3.4% 17.6%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
2.0–2.4% 12.3%
$38,945 Vol.
$38,945 Vol.
Jan 17, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
9%
2.0–2.4%
9%
2.5–2.9%
33%
3.0-3.4%
18%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
5%
2.5–2.9% 32.9%
3.0-3.4% 17.6%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
2.0–2.4% 12.3%
$38,945 Vol.
$38,945 Vol.
Jan 17, 2027
<1.0%
$1,162 Vol.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$5,293 Vol.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,432 Vol.
9%
2.0–2.4%
$1,229 Vol.
9%
2.5–2.9%
$9,823 Vol.
33%
3.0-3.4%
$13,961 Vol.
18%
3.5-3.9%
$3,536 Vol.
13%
4.0%+
$509 Vol.
5%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on energy price volatility amid Bank of Canada projections for an average near 2.5%. Recent headline prints rose to 3.2% in May and 3.0% in July 2026, driven by gasoline surges from Middle East supply disruptions that pushed oil above $75 per barrel at times, though core measures held near 2%. Offsetting factors include economic slack, subdued shelter and services inflation, and a policy rate held at 2.25% to support below-potential growth. The Canadian dollar's depreciation adds import cost pressure, while forecasts assume oil futures moderate later in the year. Outcomes above 3% gain odds if geopolitical risks persist, while sub-2% readings would require faster disinflation from excess capacity.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$38,945End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on energy price volatility amid Bank of Canada projections for an average near 2.5%. Recent headline prints rose to 3.2% in May and 3.0% in July 2026, driven by gasoline surges from Middle East supply disruptions that pushed oil above $75 per barrel at times, though core measures held near 2%. Offsetting factors include economic slack, subdued shelter and services inflation, and a policy rate held at 2.25% to support below-potential growth. The Canadian dollar's depreciation adds import cost pressure, while forecasts assume oil futures moderate later in the year. Outcomes above 3% gain odds if geopolitical risks persist, while sub-2% readings would require faster disinflation from excess capacity.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$38,945End Date
Jan 18, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on energy price volatility amid Bank of Canada projections for an average near 2.5%. Recent headline prints rose to 3.2% in May and 3.0% in July 2026, driven by gasoline surges from Middle East supply disruptions that pushed oil above $75 per barrel at times, though core measures held near 2%. Offsetting factors include economic slack, subdued shelter and services inflation, and a policy rate held at 2.25% to support below-potential growth. The Canadian dollar's depreciation adds import cost pressure, while forecasts assume oil futures moderate later in the year. Outcomes above 3% gain odds if geopolitical risks persist, while sub-2% readings would require faster disinflation from excess capacity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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