Recent readings show China's CPI rising at a subdued 0.9 percent pace through July 2026, with the July print easing to 0.5 percent year-on-year amid softer non-food prices and persistent food deflation. Weak household demand, ample manufacturing capacity, and a lingering property-sector drag continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while earlier energy-driven imported inflation from Middle East supply issues has begun to moderate. Official statements and forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.8 percent under base-case assumptions, supported by pro-consumption measures but constrained by soft domestic activity. This environment positions the 0.6–1.0 percent range as the consensus outcome among traders, with narrower bands reflecting downside risks from sustained demand weakness and upside limited by fading external cost pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 5.2%
$73,936 Vol.
$73,936 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 17.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 11%
2.0-2.4% 5.2%
$73,936 Vol.
$73,936 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,736 Vol.
2%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$5,172 Vol.
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
$9,037 Vol.
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
$14,382 Vol.
11%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,462 Vol.
4%
2.0-2.4%
$7,879 Vol.
5%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent readings show China's CPI rising at a subdued 0.9 percent pace through July 2026, with the July print easing to 0.5 percent year-on-year amid softer non-food prices and persistent food deflation. Weak household demand, ample manufacturing capacity, and a lingering property-sector drag continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while earlier energy-driven imported inflation from Middle East supply issues has begun to moderate. Official statements and forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.8 percent under base-case assumptions, supported by pro-consumption measures but constrained by soft domestic activity. This environment positions the 0.6–1.0 percent range as the consensus outcome among traders, with narrower bands reflecting downside risks from sustained demand weakness and upside limited by fading external cost pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$73,936End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent readings show China's CPI rising at a subdued 0.9 percent pace through July 2026, with the July print easing to 0.5 percent year-on-year amid softer non-food prices and persistent food deflation. Weak household demand, ample manufacturing capacity, and a lingering property-sector drag continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while earlier energy-driven imported inflation from Middle East supply issues has begun to moderate. Official statements and forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.8 percent under base-case assumptions, supported by pro-consumption measures but constrained by soft domestic activity. This environment positions the 0.6–1.0 percent range as the consensus outcome among traders, with narrower bands reflecting downside risks from sustained demand weakness and upside limited by fading external cost pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$73,936End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent readings show China's CPI rising at a subdued 0.9 percent pace through July 2026, with the July print easing to 0.5 percent year-on-year amid softer non-food prices and persistent food deflation. Weak household demand, ample manufacturing capacity, and a lingering property-sector drag continue to limit broad-based price pressures, while earlier energy-driven imported inflation from Middle East supply issues has begun to moderate. Official statements and forecasters project a full-year rate near 0.8 percent under base-case assumptions, supported by pro-consumption measures but constrained by soft domestic activity. This environment positions the 0.6–1.0 percent range as the consensus outcome among traders, with narrower bands reflecting downside risks from sustained demand weakness and upside limited by fading external cost pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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