Recent Eurozone data show Q2 2026 GDP expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, with Q3 momentum appearing similarly moderate amid lingering effects from the Middle East energy shock. The ECB’s July decision to hold policy rates steady at the 2.25% deposit facility level, alongside June inflation easing to 2.8%, has anchored market-implied odds near 49.5% for 0.8-1.1% growth and 43.0% for 0.4-0.7%. Traders weigh resilient global trade and German fiscal support against soft PMI readings and consumer confidence near multi-year lows, creating a narrow contest where incoming August CPI, industrial production, and services data could shift the balance between the two leading bands before the September release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.4-0.7% 44%
0.8-1.1% 39%
1.2-1.5% 10.5%
2.0%+ 2.9%
$35,451 Vol.
$35,451 Vol.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
<1%
0.0-0.3%
2%
0.4-0.7%
44%
0.8-1.1%
47%
1.2-1.5%
10%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
3%
0.4-0.7% 44%
0.8-1.1% 39%
1.2-1.5% 10.5%
2.0%+ 2.9%
$35,451 Vol.
$35,451 Vol.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
0.0-0.3%
$760 Vol.
2%
0.4-0.7%
$3,707 Vol.
44%
0.8-1.1%
$27,191 Vol.
47%
1.2-1.5%
$1,335 Vol.
10%
1.6-1.9%
$742 Vol.
<1%
2.0%+
$691 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data show Q2 2026 GDP expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, with Q3 momentum appearing similarly moderate amid lingering effects from the Middle East energy shock. The ECB’s July decision to hold policy rates steady at the 2.25% deposit facility level, alongside June inflation easing to 2.8%, has anchored market-implied odds near 49.5% for 0.8-1.1% growth and 43.0% for 0.4-0.7%. Traders weigh resilient global trade and German fiscal support against soft PMI readings and consumer confidence near multi-year lows, creating a narrow contest where incoming August CPI, industrial production, and services data could shift the balance between the two leading bands before the September release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Volume
$35,451End Date
Oct 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Eurozone data show Q2 2026 GDP expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, with Q3 momentum appearing similarly moderate amid lingering effects from the Middle East energy shock. The ECB’s July decision to hold policy rates steady at the 2.25% deposit facility level, alongside June inflation easing to 2.8%, has anchored market-implied odds near 49.5% for 0.8-1.1% growth and 43.0% for 0.4-0.7%. Traders weigh resilient global trade and German fiscal support against soft PMI readings and consumer confidence near multi-year lows, creating a narrow contest where incoming August CPI, industrial production, and services data could shift the balance between the two leading bands before the September release.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,451End Date
Oct 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Eurozone data show Q2 2026 GDP expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, with Q3 momentum appearing similarly moderate amid lingering effects from the Middle East energy shock. The ECB’s July decision to hold policy rates steady at the 2.25% deposit facility level, alongside June inflation easing to 2.8%, has anchored market-implied odds near 49.5% for 0.8-1.1% growth and 43.0% for 0.4-0.7%. Traders weigh resilient global trade and German fiscal support against soft PMI readings and consumer confidence near multi-year lows, creating a narrow contest where incoming August CPI, industrial production, and services data could shift the balance between the two leading bands before the September release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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