Recent Berlin polling places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen in a tight four-way contest with the CDU, Die Linke, and AfD, each drawing 15-20 percent support in surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap conducted in July and August 2026. The party’s share has stabilized near 16 percent amid voter focus on housing costs, traffic policy, and coalition arithmetic ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election. Incumbent CDU–SPD governance under criticism for infrastructure issues and the absence of a clear frontrunner have kept the Greens’ prospects fluid, with no single bloc commanding a majority and multiple coalition paths remaining viable. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further erosion from competing progressive and left-leaning lists against the party’s established base in the capital, producing the current distribution that places sub-14 percent outcomes at the head of market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<14% 52%
14-17% 34%
17-20% 16%
20%+ 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
52%
14-17%
34%
17-20%
16%
20%+
5%
<14% 52%
14-17% 34%
17-20% 16%
20%+ 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
$349 Vol.
52%
14-17%
$86 Vol.
34%
17-20%
$84 Vol.
16%
20%+
$36 Vol.
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent Berlin polling places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen in a tight four-way contest with the CDU, Die Linke, and AfD, each drawing 15-20 percent support in surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap conducted in July and August 2026. The party’s share has stabilized near 16 percent amid voter focus on housing costs, traffic policy, and coalition arithmetic ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election. Incumbent CDU–SPD governance under criticism for infrastructure issues and the absence of a clear frontrunner have kept the Greens’ prospects fluid, with no single bloc commanding a majority and multiple coalition paths remaining viable. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further erosion from competing progressive and left-leaning lists against the party’s established base in the capital, producing the current distribution that places sub-14 percent outcomes at the head of market pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$554End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent Berlin polling places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen in a tight four-way contest with the CDU, Die Linke, and AfD, each drawing 15-20 percent support in surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap conducted in July and August 2026. The party’s share has stabilized near 16 percent amid voter focus on housing costs, traffic policy, and coalition arithmetic ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election. Incumbent CDU–SPD governance under criticism for infrastructure issues and the absence of a clear frontrunner have kept the Greens’ prospects fluid, with no single bloc commanding a majority and multiple coalition paths remaining viable. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further erosion from competing progressive and left-leaning lists against the party’s established base in the capital, producing the current distribution that places sub-14 percent outcomes at the head of market pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$554End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Berlin polling places Bündnis 90/Die Grünen in a tight four-way contest with the CDU, Die Linke, and AfD, each drawing 15-20 percent support in surveys from Forsa, INSA, and Infratest dimap conducted in July and August 2026. The party’s share has stabilized near 16 percent amid voter focus on housing costs, traffic policy, and coalition arithmetic ahead of the 20 September Abgeordnetenhaus election. Incumbent CDU–SPD governance under criticism for infrastructure issues and the absence of a clear frontrunner have kept the Greens’ prospects fluid, with no single bloc commanding a majority and multiple coalition paths remaining viable. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further erosion from competing progressive and left-leaning lists against the party’s established base in the capital, producing the current distribution that places sub-14 percent outcomes at the head of market pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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