Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and SPD clustered between roughly 15-22 percent, leaving second place highly contested. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with CDU holding a modest edge over AfD and Linke as the most plausible runners-up. National momentum favoring the CDU federally and AfD gains in eastern states have not fully translated to Berlin's urban electorate, where established left-leaning parties retain structural support. Local priorities including housing shortages, migration management, and budget pressures continue to shape voter shifts. Upcoming candidate debates and turnout among younger and immigrant communities could widen gaps before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCDU 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 24%
Grüne 7%
$23,960 Vol.
$23,960 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
37%
AfD
33%
Linke
24%
Grüne
7%
SPD
2%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 24%
Grüne 7%
$23,960 Vol.
$23,960 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$3,271 Vol.
37%
AfD
$5,376 Vol.
33%
Linke
$5,958 Vol.
24%
Grüne
$4,186 Vol.
7%
SPD
$3,060 Vol.
2%
FDP
$686 Vol.
<1%
FW
$640 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and SPD clustered between roughly 15-22 percent, leaving second place highly contested. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with CDU holding a modest edge over AfD and Linke as the most plausible runners-up. National momentum favoring the CDU federally and AfD gains in eastern states have not fully translated to Berlin's urban electorate, where established left-leaning parties retain structural support. Local priorities including housing shortages, migration management, and budget pressures continue to shape voter shifts. Upcoming candidate debates and turnout among younger and immigrant communities could widen gaps before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Volume
$23,960End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and SPD clustered between roughly 15-22 percent, leaving second place highly contested. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with CDU holding a modest edge over AfD and Linke as the most plausible runners-up. National momentum favoring the CDU federally and AfD gains in eastern states have not fully translated to Berlin's urban electorate, where established left-leaning parties retain structural support. Local priorities including housing shortages, migration management, and budget pressures continue to shape voter shifts. Upcoming candidate debates and turnout among younger and immigrant communities could widen gaps before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Volume
$23,960End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and SPD clustered between roughly 15-22 percent, leaving second place highly contested. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with CDU holding a modest edge over AfD and Linke as the most plausible runners-up. National momentum favoring the CDU federally and AfD gains in eastern states have not fully translated to Berlin's urban electorate, where established left-leaning parties retain structural support. Local priorities including housing shortages, migration management, and budget pressures continue to shape voter shifts. Upcoming candidate debates and turnout among younger and immigrant communities could widen gaps before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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