The preliminary August 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 51.0, released August 14 and below consensus expectations near 54.5, anchors trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket. Persistent inflation pressures, with year-ahead expectations rising to 4.3% from 4.2% in July, combined with the lingering effects of the Iran conflict on energy costs and business-condition outlooks, drove the 7.6% month-over-month drop from July’s 55.2. Weakness was broad-based but most pronounced among lower-income, older, and less-educated consumers sensitive to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final release scheduled for August 28, markets continue to weigh these confirmed data points against any late-month survey revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated49.0–51.9 50%
52.0–54.9 31%
<49.0 19.1%
55.0–57.9 4.6%
$35,285 Vol.
$35,285 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
19%
49.0–51.9
50%
52.0–54.9
31%
55.0–57.9
5%
58.0–60.9
3%
61.0–63.9
2%
64.0+
1%
49.0–51.9 50%
52.0–54.9 31%
<49.0 19.1%
55.0–57.9 4.6%
$35,285 Vol.
$35,285 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$1,099 Vol.
19%
49.0–51.9
$11,953 Vol.
50%
52.0–54.9
$15,056 Vol.
31%
55.0–57.9
$3,901 Vol.
5%
58.0–60.9
$1,450 Vol.
3%
61.0–63.9
$941 Vol.
2%
64.0+
$885 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary August 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 51.0, released August 14 and below consensus expectations near 54.5, anchors trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket. Persistent inflation pressures, with year-ahead expectations rising to 4.3% from 4.2% in July, combined with the lingering effects of the Iran conflict on energy costs and business-condition outlooks, drove the 7.6% month-over-month drop from July’s 55.2. Weakness was broad-based but most pronounced among lower-income, older, and less-educated consumers sensitive to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final release scheduled for August 28, markets continue to weigh these confirmed data points against any late-month survey revisions.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$35,285End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary August 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 51.0, released August 14 and below consensus expectations near 54.5, anchors trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket. Persistent inflation pressures, with year-ahead expectations rising to 4.3% from 4.2% in July, combined with the lingering effects of the Iran conflict on energy costs and business-condition outlooks, drove the 7.6% month-over-month drop from July’s 55.2. Weakness was broad-based but most pronounced among lower-income, older, and less-educated consumers sensitive to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final release scheduled for August 28, markets continue to weigh these confirmed data points against any late-month survey revisions.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$35,285End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary August 2026 University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment reading of 51.0, released August 14 and below consensus expectations near 54.5, anchors trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket. Persistent inflation pressures, with year-ahead expectations rising to 4.3% from 4.2% in July, combined with the lingering effects of the Iran conflict on energy costs and business-condition outlooks, drove the 7.6% month-over-month drop from July’s 55.2. Weakness was broad-based but most pronounced among lower-income, older, and less-educated consumers sensitive to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final release scheduled for August 28, markets continue to weigh these confirmed data points against any late-month survey revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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