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icon for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

icon for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Up

92% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Up

92% chance
Polymarket
NEW
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election occurs amid a series of five German state votes this year and follows strong AfD polling leads of 41-43 percent against a trailing CDU. This polarization, combined with the party's potential for major gains or a governing role, has heightened mobilization efforts by multiple parties. Turnout reached 69.6 percent in Baden-Württemberg's March election, up nearly six points from prior levels, reflecting similar contest dynamics. With roughly 1.8 million eligible voters and ongoing national attention to eastern state results, traders see these factors supporting participation above the 60.3 percent recorded in 2021.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$1,922
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The September 6, 2026, Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election occurs amid a series of five German state votes this year and follows strong AfD polling leads of 41-43 percent against a trailing CDU. This polarization, combined with the party's potential for major gains or a governing role, has heightened mobilization efforts by multiple parties. Turnout reached 69.6 percent in Baden-Württemberg's March election, up nearly six points from prior levels, reflecting similar contest dynamics. With roughly 1.8 million eligible voters and ongoing national attention to eastern state results, traders see these factors supporting participation above the 60.3 percent recorded in 2021.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%.

If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.

The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.

If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$1,922
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:44 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 60.3%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 60.3%. If the reported turnout is exactly 60.3%, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered. The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison. If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Statistisches Landesamt Sachsen-Anhalt (https://statistik.sachsen-anhalt.de/themen/gebiet-und-wahlen/wahlen) and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 92% for "Up." A price of 92% means the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?," decide whether you believe Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price at noon ET on September 6 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price at noon ET on August 6. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" is 92% for "Up," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 92% chance that Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price will finish up over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?" market resolves based on a comparison of Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?'s price at noon ET on September 6 versus noon ET on August 6, using Binance SACHSEN-ANHALT-PARLIAMENTARY-ELECTION-TURNOUT/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the September 6 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.