Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since her 2021 victory, holds a dominant 76% implied probability in the Osnabrück mayoral market ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election, with possible runoff on September 27. This positioning stems from standard incumbency advantages in German local contests, where sitting officeholders benefit from name recognition, established administrative records, and party infrastructure in Lower Saxony. Recent August 2026 candidate forums and local media evaluations of her five-year term have kept focus on her performance without surfacing major scandals or shifts that would elevate challengers such as Robert Alferink (SPD) at 16.5% or Volker Bajus (Greens) at 8.9%. Trader consensus prices the field of remaining candidates below 4% each, reflecting limited momentum for opposition parties and the absence of polling data indicating a competitive race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKatharina Pötter 72%
Robert Alferink 13%
Volker Bajus 9.1%
Thorsten Wassermann 3.1%
$53,484 Vol.
$53,484 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
72%
Robert Alferink
13%
Volker Bajus
9%
Thorsten Wassermann
3%
Oliver Hasskamp
2%
Thomas Groß
1%
Katharina Pötter 72%
Robert Alferink 13%
Volker Bajus 9.1%
Thorsten Wassermann 3.1%
$53,484 Vol.
$53,484 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
$40,402 Vol.
72%
Robert Alferink
$11,192 Vol.
13%
Volker Bajus
$692 Vol.
9%
Thorsten Wassermann
$508 Vol.
3%
Oliver Hasskamp
$410 Vol.
2%
Thomas Groß
$279 Vol.
1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since her 2021 victory, holds a dominant 76% implied probability in the Osnabrück mayoral market ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election, with possible runoff on September 27. This positioning stems from standard incumbency advantages in German local contests, where sitting officeholders benefit from name recognition, established administrative records, and party infrastructure in Lower Saxony. Recent August 2026 candidate forums and local media evaluations of her five-year term have kept focus on her performance without surfacing major scandals or shifts that would elevate challengers such as Robert Alferink (SPD) at 16.5% or Volker Bajus (Greens) at 8.9%. Trader consensus prices the field of remaining candidates below 4% each, reflecting limited momentum for opposition parties and the absence of polling data indicating a competitive race.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$53,484End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since her 2021 victory, holds a dominant 76% implied probability in the Osnabrück mayoral market ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election, with possible runoff on September 27. This positioning stems from standard incumbency advantages in German local contests, where sitting officeholders benefit from name recognition, established administrative records, and party infrastructure in Lower Saxony. Recent August 2026 candidate forums and local media evaluations of her five-year term have kept focus on her performance without surfacing major scandals or shifts that would elevate challengers such as Robert Alferink (SPD) at 16.5% or Volker Bajus (Greens) at 8.9%. Trader consensus prices the field of remaining candidates below 4% each, reflecting limited momentum for opposition parties and the absence of polling data indicating a competitive race.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$53,484End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter (CDU), the incumbent Oberbürgermeisterin since her 2021 victory, holds a dominant 76% implied probability in the Osnabrück mayoral market ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election, with possible runoff on September 27. This positioning stems from standard incumbency advantages in German local contests, where sitting officeholders benefit from name recognition, established administrative records, and party infrastructure in Lower Saxony. Recent August 2026 candidate forums and local media evaluations of her five-year term have kept focus on her performance without surfacing major scandals or shifts that would elevate challengers such as Robert Alferink (SPD) at 16.5% or Volker Bajus (Greens) at 8.9%. Trader consensus prices the field of remaining candidates below 4% each, reflecting limited momentum for opposition parties and the absence of polling data indicating a competitive race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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