Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a commanding position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race, with traders assigning her the highest probability ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election and possible September 27 runoff. Her established name recognition from the current term, which began after a 2021 victory, combined with unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026, anchors market pricing. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD’s Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, and smaller-party contenders—limits any single opponent’s ability to consolidate support. Recent candidate confirmations have clarified the lineup without notable shifts, leaving implied probabilities centered on Pötter’s structural edge while allowing for runoff scenarios or late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKatharina Pötter 71%
Robert Alferink 13%
Volker Bajus 9.1%
Thorsten Wassermann 3.8%
$53,538 Vol.
$53,538 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
71%
Robert Alferink
13%
Volker Bajus
9%
Thorsten Wassermann
4%
Oliver Hasskamp
3%
Thomas Groß
1%
Katharina Pötter 71%
Robert Alferink 13%
Volker Bajus 9.1%
Thorsten Wassermann 3.8%
$53,538 Vol.
$53,538 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
$40,436 Vol.
71%
Robert Alferink
$11,212 Vol.
13%
Volker Bajus
$692 Vol.
9%
Thorsten Wassermann
$508 Vol.
4%
Oliver Hasskamp
$410 Vol.
3%
Thomas Groß
$279 Vol.
1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a commanding position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race, with traders assigning her the highest probability ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election and possible September 27 runoff. Her established name recognition from the current term, which began after a 2021 victory, combined with unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026, anchors market pricing. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD’s Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, and smaller-party contenders—limits any single opponent’s ability to consolidate support. Recent candidate confirmations have clarified the lineup without notable shifts, leaving implied probabilities centered on Pötter’s structural edge while allowing for runoff scenarios or late campaign developments.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Volume
$53,538End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a commanding position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race, with traders assigning her the highest probability ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election and possible September 27 runoff. Her established name recognition from the current term, which began after a 2021 victory, combined with unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026, anchors market pricing. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD’s Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, and smaller-party contenders—limits any single opponent’s ability to consolidate support. Recent candidate confirmations have clarified the lineup without notable shifts, leaving implied probabilities centered on Pötter’s structural edge while allowing for runoff scenarios or late campaign developments.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$53,538End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a commanding position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race, with traders assigning her the highest probability ahead of the September 13, 2026 direct election and possible September 27 runoff. Her established name recognition from the current term, which began after a 2021 victory, combined with unanimous CDU nomination in June 2026, anchors market pricing. A fragmented field of challengers—including SPD’s Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, and smaller-party contenders—limits any single opponent’s ability to consolidate support. Recent candidate confirmations have clarified the lineup without notable shifts, leaving implied probabilities centered on Pötter’s structural edge while allowing for runoff scenarios or late campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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