Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election place Die Linke at approximately 11 percent, narrowly ahead of the CDU at around 10 percent, positioning the former as the most likely third-place finisher behind the AfD and SPD. This ordering has held steady across INSA and Infratest dimap surveys through mid-August, reflecting consistent support levels for smaller parties amid AfD dominance in the east. Die Linke benefits from its role in the incumbent SPD-Left coalition and regional voter bases, while the CDU trails amid broader challenges in eastern states. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and historical third-place patterns when assessing 3rd-place probabilities, with limited volatility in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLinke 67%
CDU 32%
SPD <1%
Grüne <1%
$12,464 Vol.
$12,464 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Linke
67%
CDU
32%
SPD
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD
<1%
Linke 67%
CDU 32%
SPD <1%
Grüne <1%
$12,464 Vol.
$12,464 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
Linke
$5,967 Vol.
67%
CDU
$2,742 Vol.
32%
SPD
$502 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$611 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$632 Vol.
<1%
FW
$659 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$788 Vol.
<1%
AfD
$563 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election place Die Linke at approximately 11 percent, narrowly ahead of the CDU at around 10 percent, positioning the former as the most likely third-place finisher behind the AfD and SPD. This ordering has held steady across INSA and Infratest dimap surveys through mid-August, reflecting consistent support levels for smaller parties amid AfD dominance in the east. Die Linke benefits from its role in the incumbent SPD-Left coalition and regional voter bases, while the CDU trails amid broader challenges in eastern states. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and historical third-place patterns when assessing 3rd-place probabilities, with limited volatility in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$12,464End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election place Die Linke at approximately 11 percent, narrowly ahead of the CDU at around 10 percent, positioning the former as the most likely third-place finisher behind the AfD and SPD. This ordering has held steady across INSA and Infratest dimap surveys through mid-August, reflecting consistent support levels for smaller parties amid AfD dominance in the east. Die Linke benefits from its role in the incumbent SPD-Left coalition and regional voter bases, while the CDU trails amid broader challenges in eastern states. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and historical third-place patterns when assessing 3rd-place probabilities, with limited volatility in recent weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$12,464End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election place Die Linke at approximately 11 percent, narrowly ahead of the CDU at around 10 percent, positioning the former as the most likely third-place finisher behind the AfD and SPD. This ordering has held steady across INSA and Infratest dimap surveys through mid-August, reflecting consistent support levels for smaller parties amid AfD dominance in the east. Die Linke benefits from its role in the incumbent SPD-Left coalition and regional voter bases, while the CDU trails amid broader challenges in eastern states. Traders appear to weigh these polling trends and historical third-place patterns when assessing 3rd-place probabilities, with limited volatility in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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