**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological services and multiple weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling following the end of the intense "three fu" period.** Urban heat retention in the Yangtze River valley and light winds further support this range, with hourly observations and ensemble guidance showing early-morning lows clustering near 27°C. The strong market weighting on 27°C (66.5%) and 25°C (33.5%) reflects trader alignment with this consensus, while lower probabilities for outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C align with the absence of any rapid cooling mechanism today. New model runs or official updates from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,327 Vol.
$3,327 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$3,327 Vol.
$3,327 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$122 Vol.
No
24°C
$235 Vol.
No
25°C
$184 Vol.
No
26°C
$205 Vol.
No
27°C
$547 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$179 Vol.
No
29°C
$229 Vol.
No
30°C
$85 Vol.
No
31°C
$910 Vol.
No
32°C
$215 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$415 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological services and multiple weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling following the end of the intense "three fu" period.**
Urban heat retention in the Yangtze River valley and light winds further support this range, with hourly observations and ensemble guidance showing early-morning lows clustering near 27°C. The strong market weighting on 27°C (66.5%) and 25°C (33.5%) reflects trader alignment with this consensus, while lower probabilities for outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C align with the absence of any rapid cooling mechanism today. New model runs or official updates from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,327End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological services and multiple weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling following the end of the intense "three fu" period.**
Urban heat retention in the Yangtze River valley and light winds further support this range, with hourly observations and ensemble guidance showing early-morning lows clustering near 27°C. The strong market weighting on 27°C (66.5%) and 25°C (33.5%) reflects trader alignment with this consensus, while lower probabilities for outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C align with the absence of any rapid cooling mechanism today. New model runs or official updates from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,327End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
**Current forecasts from official Chinese meteorological services and multiple weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for Wuhan on August 26, driven by persistent high-pressure conditions and elevated humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling following the end of the intense "three fu" period.** Urban heat retention in the Yangtze River valley and light winds further support this range, with hourly observations and ensemble guidance showing early-morning lows clustering near 27°C. The strong market weighting on 27°C (66.5%) and 25°C (33.5%) reflects trader alignment with this consensus, while lower probabilities for outcomes below 25°C or above 28°C align with the absence of any rapid cooling mechanism today. New model runs or official updates from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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