**Forecast models and local meteorological guidance point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 30 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds.** Persistent northerly flow associated with peripheral influences from distant typhoons is expected to enhance cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Official forecasts from regional services list lows near 26°C under overcast skies with light to moderate rain, while some global model guidance suggests slightly more cooling toward 24–25°C if precipitation timing allows greater surface heat loss. Historical late-August minima in Wuhan average around 24°C, but the current pattern of elevated humidity and reduced diurnal range supports the market’s emphasis on the upper end of that band. Traders will watch updated short-range model runs and early-morning station reports for any shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 30?
26°C 46%
27°C 39%
23°C 31%
25°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
30%
26°C
46%
27°C
39%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 46%
27°C 39%
23°C 31%
25°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$106 Vol.
24%
23°C
$34 Vol.
31%
24°C
$6 Vol.
47%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
46%
27°C
$74 Vol.
39%
28°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and local meteorological guidance point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 30 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds.** Persistent northerly flow associated with peripheral influences from distant typhoons is expected to enhance cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Official forecasts from regional services list lows near 26°C under overcast skies with light to moderate rain, while some global model guidance suggests slightly more cooling toward 24–25°C if precipitation timing allows greater surface heat loss. Historical late-August minima in Wuhan average around 24°C, but the current pattern of elevated humidity and reduced diurnal range supports the market’s emphasis on the upper end of that band. Traders will watch updated short-range model runs and early-morning station reports for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$345End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and local meteorological guidance point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 30 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds.** Persistent northerly flow associated with peripheral influences from distant typhoons is expected to enhance cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Official forecasts from regional services list lows near 26°C under overcast skies with light to moderate rain, while some global model guidance suggests slightly more cooling toward 24–25°C if precipitation timing allows greater surface heat loss. Historical late-August minima in Wuhan average around 24°C, but the current pattern of elevated humidity and reduced diurnal range supports the market’s emphasis on the upper end of that band. Traders will watch updated short-range model runs and early-morning station reports for any shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$345End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and local meteorological guidance point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan on August 30 most likely falling in the 24–26°C range, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds.** Persistent northerly flow associated with peripheral influences from distant typhoons is expected to enhance cloud cover and scattered rainfall, limiting nighttime radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Official forecasts from regional services list lows near 26°C under overcast skies with light to moderate rain, while some global model guidance suggests slightly more cooling toward 24–25°C if precipitation timing allows greater surface heat loss. Historical late-August minima in Wuhan average around 24°C, but the current pattern of elevated humidity and reduced diurnal range supports the market’s emphasis on the upper end of that band. Traders will watch updated short-range model runs and early-morning station reports for any shifts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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