Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a low around 24–26°C on August 31 as cooler northerly flow and scattered rain associated with typhoon peripheral influences moderate temperatures after peak summer heat. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show daytime highs near 31–34°C with overnight minima supported by cloud cover and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 23–25°C reflects uncertainty in exact wind mixing and rainfall timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; stronger sustained winds or clearer breaks would favor the lower end while persistent cloud and humidity support slightly warmer readings. Historical late-August baselines near 25°C provide context amid this short-term variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
22°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C 40%
21°C or below
17%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
32%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
7%
22°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
24°C 40%
21°C or below
17%
22°C
49%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
32%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a low around 24–26°C on August 31 as cooler northerly flow and scattered rain associated with typhoon peripheral influences moderate temperatures after peak summer heat. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources and global models show daytime highs near 31–34°C with overnight minima supported by cloud cover and light precipitation that limits radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 23–25°C reflects uncertainty in exact wind mixing and rainfall timing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; stronger sustained winds or clearer breaks would favor the lower end while persistent cloud and humidity support slightly warmer readings. Historical late-August baselines near 25°C provide context amid this short-term variability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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