Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from peripheral flows associated with regional typhoon activity or frontal systems, introducing increased cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit peak solar heating on August 31. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on daytime highs near 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and 30–60% precipitation chances, down from recent 34–36°C readings under clearer conditions. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes around 31–33°C, as small variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C through altered surface energy balance and reduced insolation. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 31?
32°C 28%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C
28%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 28%
31°C 26%
33°C 20%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$20 Vol.
10%
31°C
$2 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
28%
33°C
$142 Vol.
20%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from peripheral flows associated with regional typhoon activity or frontal systems, introducing increased cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit peak solar heating on August 31. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on daytime highs near 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and 30–60% precipitation chances, down from recent 34–36°C readings under clearer conditions. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes around 31–33°C, as small variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C through altered surface energy balance and reduced insolation. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$546End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from peripheral flows associated with regional typhoon activity or frontal systems, introducing increased cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit peak solar heating on August 31. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on daytime highs near 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and 30–60% precipitation chances, down from recent 34–36°C readings under clearer conditions. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes around 31–33°C, as small variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C through altered surface energy balance and reduced insolation. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$546End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Wuhan indicate a moderating influence from peripheral flows associated with regional typhoon activity or frontal systems, introducing increased cloud cover, scattered rain, and northerly winds that limit peak solar heating on August 31. Official outlooks from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on daytime highs near 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to overcast skies and 30–60% precipitation chances, down from recent 34–36°C readings under clearer conditions. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes around 31–33°C, as small variations in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or wind strength could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C through altered surface energy balance and reduced insolation. Trader consensus reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with fresh model runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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