Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 28, consistent with trader consensus around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model guidance shows subtle variations in cloud cover and wind strength that differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while historical late-August climatology in the region typically features minima of 26–28°C under similar unstable conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
27°C 44%
28°C 40%
26°C 13%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
13%
27°C
44%
28°C
40%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 40%
26°C 13%
25°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$24 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$67 Vol.
1%
24°C
$29 Vol.
1%
25°C
$97 Vol.
5%
26°C
$92 Vol.
13%
27°C
$130 Vol.
44%
28°C
$140 Vol.
40%
29°C
$20 Vol.
4%
30°C
$79 Vol.
1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$74 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 28, consistent with trader consensus around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model guidance shows subtle variations in cloud cover and wind strength that differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while historical late-August climatology in the region typically features minima of 26–28°C under similar unstable conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$779End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 28, consistent with trader consensus around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model guidance shows subtle variations in cloud cover and wind strength that differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while historical late-August climatology in the region typically features minima of 26–28°C under similar unstable conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$779End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27–28°C for August 28, consistent with trader consensus around those levels. Persistent southwest monsoon flow, elevated humidity near 70–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows from dropping further. Model guidance shows subtle variations in cloud cover and wind strength that differentiate the closely matched 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while historical late-August climatology in the region typically features minima of 26–28°C under similar unstable conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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