Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 9–10°C for Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clearing skies after recent southeasterly flow and scattered showers that allowed modest radiational cooling under lighter winds. This setup favors the mid-range outcomes clustered around 23% each, while the 34% on 4°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential model underestimation of cold-air advection or clearer-than-expected conditions, and the 29.5% on 14°C or higher accounts for possible residual cloud cover or stronger mixing that limits minimums. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 9–12°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability across several single-degree bins rather than converging on one outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 28?
14°C or higher 52%
4°C or below 35%
9°C 31%
8°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
4°C or below
35%
5°C
22%
6°C
22%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
31%
10°C
22%
11°C
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
8%
14°C or higher
52%
14°C or higher 52%
4°C or below 35%
9°C 31%
8°C 27%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Vol.
35%
5°C
$0 Vol.
22%
6°C
$0 Vol.
22%
7°C
$0 Vol.
26%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
31%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C or higher
$0 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 9–10°C for Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clearing skies after recent southeasterly flow and scattered showers that allowed modest radiational cooling under lighter winds. This setup favors the mid-range outcomes clustered around 23% each, while the 34% on 4°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential model underestimation of cold-air advection or clearer-than-expected conditions, and the 29.5% on 14°C or higher accounts for possible residual cloud cover or stronger mixing that limits minimums. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 9–12°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability across several single-degree bins rather than converging on one outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 9–10°C for Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clearing skies after recent southeasterly flow and scattered showers that allowed modest radiational cooling under lighter winds. This setup favors the mid-range outcomes clustered around 23% each, while the 34% on 4°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential model underestimation of cold-air advection or clearer-than-expected conditions, and the 29.5% on 14°C or higher accounts for possible residual cloud cover or stronger mixing that limits minimums. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 9–12°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability across several single-degree bins rather than converging on one outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 9–10°C for Buenos Aires on August 28, driven by clearing skies after recent southeasterly flow and scattered showers that allowed modest radiational cooling under lighter winds. This setup favors the mid-range outcomes clustered around 23% each, while the 34% on 4°C or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential model underestimation of cold-air advection or clearer-than-expected conditions, and the 29.5% on 14°C or higher accounts for possible residual cloud cover or stronger mixing that limits minimums. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 9–12°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability across several single-degree bins rather than converging on one outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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