Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 29 settling between 15–17°C amid persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic low-pressure system, moderate temperatures compared to clearer scenarios while preventing sharp drops below seasonal late-August norms of roughly 14–15°C. Hourly guidance shows the minimum likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under 80–100% cloud and light-to-moderate winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearer breaks that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 29?
16°C 32%
17°C 27%
15°C 27%
18°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
10%
13°C
9%
14°C
12%
15°C
27%
16°C
32%
17°C
27%
18°C
20%
19°C
16%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
8%
16°C 32%
17°C 27%
15°C 27%
18°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$5 Vol.
10%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
12%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$5 Vol.
16%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 29 settling between 15–17°C amid persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic low-pressure system, moderate temperatures compared to clearer scenarios while preventing sharp drops below seasonal late-August norms of roughly 14–15°C. Hourly guidance shows the minimum likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under 80–100% cloud and light-to-moderate winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearer breaks that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 29 settling between 15–17°C amid persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic low-pressure system, moderate temperatures compared to clearer scenarios while preventing sharp drops below seasonal late-August norms of roughly 14–15°C. Hourly guidance shows the minimum likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under 80–100% cloud and light-to-moderate winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearer breaks that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 29 settling between 15–17°C amid persistent southwesterly flow, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic low-pressure system, moderate temperatures compared to clearer scenarios while preventing sharp drops below seasonal late-August norms of roughly 14–15°C. Hourly guidance shows the minimum likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours under 80–100% cloud and light-to-moderate winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Updated model runs and official KNMI guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine timing of any clearer breaks that could shift the low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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