Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, supported by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow tied to nearby tropical systems that limit solar heating and keep afternoon readings capped. Observed temperatures through midday have peaked near this level amid high humidity and dew points around 26–28°C, aligning with climatological August norms of 31–33°C while avoiding extremes. Trader consensus at 100% on 33°C reflects this model agreement and real-time data, though slight shifts could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming or if official station maxima resolve marginally lower due to timing or site-specific conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 25?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,849 Vol.
$44,849 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$44,849 Vol.
$44,849 Vol.
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$198 Vol.
No
26°C
$310 Vol.
No
27°C
$898 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,467 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,166 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,835 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,450 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,099 Vol.
No
33°C
$10,145 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$6,760 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$8,521 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, supported by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow tied to nearby tropical systems that limit solar heating and keep afternoon readings capped. Observed temperatures through midday have peaked near this level amid high humidity and dew points around 26–28°C, aligning with climatological August norms of 31–33°C while avoiding extremes. Trader consensus at 100% on 33°C reflects this model agreement and real-time data, though slight shifts could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming or if official station maxima resolve marginally lower due to timing or site-specific conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$44,849End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, supported by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow tied to nearby tropical systems that limit solar heating and keep afternoon readings capped. Observed temperatures through midday have peaked near this level amid high humidity and dew points around 26–28°C, aligning with climatological August norms of 31–33°C while avoiding extremes. Trader consensus at 100% on 33°C reflects this model agreement and real-time data, though slight shifts could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming or if official station maxima resolve marginally lower due to timing or site-specific conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,849End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daily maximum of 33°C in Guangzhou on August 25, supported by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and southeasterly flow tied to nearby tropical systems that limit solar heating and keep afternoon readings capped. Observed temperatures through midday have peaked near this level amid high humidity and dew points around 26–28°C, aligning with climatological August norms of 31–33°C while avoiding extremes. Trader consensus at 100% on 33°C reflects this model agreement and real-time data, though slight shifts could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming or if official station maxima resolve marginally lower due to timing or site-specific conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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