**Forecast consensus points to a minimum near 27°C on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-August climatology for Karachi's coastal environment.** Multiple models (including GFS-derived outputs) show overnight lows of 26–27°C (≈80–81°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 6–7 m/s maintaining marine influence and high humidity (70–90%). This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling typical of drier inland locations. Recent observations through late August 2026 confirm minimums clustered around 26.6–28.5°C, aligning with the long-term August average low near 26–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points (near 23–24°C) further moderate temperature drops, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear skies keeps extremes unlikely. The closely matched market probabilities across 24–31°C reflect this narrow expected range plus normal forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours. Key differentiators among outcomes include subtle variations in cloud persistence, wind speed, and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or moisture. Resolution will hinge on official station readings (e.g., Karachi Airport), where the daily minimum typically occurs pre-dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Karachi on August 29?
31°C or higher 53%
21°C or below 49%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
49%
22°C
12%
23°C
47%
24°C
49%
25°C
25%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
49%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
53%
31°C or higher 53%
21°C or below 49%
24°C 49%
29°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
49%
22°C
$5 Vol.
12%
23°C
$5 Vol.
47%
24°C
$5 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$5 Vol.
49%
30°C
$5 Vol.
15%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum near 27°C on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-August climatology for Karachi's coastal environment.** Multiple models (including GFS-derived outputs) show overnight lows of 26–27°C (≈80–81°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 6–7 m/s maintaining marine influence and high humidity (70–90%). This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling typical of drier inland locations.
Recent observations through late August 2026 confirm minimums clustered around 26.6–28.5°C, aligning with the long-term August average low near 26–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points (near 23–24°C) further moderate temperature drops, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear skies keeps extremes unlikely. The closely matched market probabilities across 24–31°C reflect this narrow expected range plus normal forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours.
Key differentiators among outcomes include subtle variations in cloud persistence, wind speed, and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or moisture. Resolution will hinge on official station readings (e.g., Karachi Airport), where the daily minimum typically occurs pre-dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to a minimum near 27°C on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-August climatology for Karachi's coastal environment.** Multiple models (including GFS-derived outputs) show overnight lows of 26–27°C (≈80–81°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 6–7 m/s maintaining marine influence and high humidity (70–90%). This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling typical of drier inland locations.
Recent observations through late August 2026 confirm minimums clustered around 26.6–28.5°C, aligning with the long-term August average low near 26–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points (near 23–24°C) further moderate temperature drops, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear skies keeps extremes unlikely. The closely matched market probabilities across 24–31°C reflect this narrow expected range plus normal forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours.
Key differentiators among outcomes include subtle variations in cloud persistence, wind speed, and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or moisture. Resolution will hinge on official station readings (e.g., Karachi Airport), where the daily minimum typically occurs pre-dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to a minimum near 27°C on August 29, 2026, consistent with late-August climatology for Karachi's coastal environment.** Multiple models (including GFS-derived outputs) show overnight lows of 26–27°C (≈80–81°F) under mostly cloudy skies, with light westerly to southwesterly winds of 6–7 m/s maintaining marine influence and high humidity (70–90%). This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling typical of drier inland locations. Recent observations through late August 2026 confirm minimums clustered around 26.6–28.5°C, aligning with the long-term August average low near 26–27°C. Persistent cloud cover and elevated dew points (near 23–24°C) further moderate temperature drops, while the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear skies keeps extremes unlikely. The closely matched market probabilities across 24–31°C reflect this narrow expected range plus normal forecast uncertainty in the final 48 hours. Key differentiators among outcomes include subtle variations in cloud persistence, wind speed, and any last-minute model shifts in steering flow or moisture. Resolution will hinge on official station readings (e.g., Karachi Airport), where the daily minimum typically occurs pre-dawn.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions