The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s 55.2 and below consensus estimates near 54.5, reflecting broad-based deterioration tied to elevated gasoline prices following the Iran conflict and year-ahead inflation expectations rising to 4.3%. The drop spanned demographics, with sharper declines among lower-income, older, and less-educated households most exposed to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final August reading due August 28, trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket aligns with the latest data point and the limited scope for material revision absent sharp shifts in energy markets or consumer reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated49.0–51.9 53%
52.0–54.9 30%
<49.0 18.4%
55.0–57.9 3.9%
$35,400 Vol.
$35,400 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
18%
49.0–51.9
53%
52.0–54.9
30%
55.0–57.9
4%
58.0–60.9
3%
61.0–63.9
2%
64.0+
2%
49.0–51.9 53%
52.0–54.9 30%
<49.0 18.4%
55.0–57.9 3.9%
$35,400 Vol.
$35,400 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$1,099 Vol.
18%
49.0–51.9
$12,068 Vol.
53%
52.0–54.9
$15,056 Vol.
30%
55.0–57.9
$3,901 Vol.
4%
58.0–60.9
$1,450 Vol.
3%
61.0–63.9
$941 Vol.
2%
64.0+
$885 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s 55.2 and below consensus estimates near 54.5, reflecting broad-based deterioration tied to elevated gasoline prices following the Iran conflict and year-ahead inflation expectations rising to 4.3%. The drop spanned demographics, with sharper declines among lower-income, older, and less-educated households most exposed to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final August reading due August 28, trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket aligns with the latest data point and the limited scope for material revision absent sharp shifts in energy markets or consumer reports.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$35,400End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s 55.2 and below consensus estimates near 54.5, reflecting broad-based deterioration tied to elevated gasoline prices following the Iran conflict and year-ahead inflation expectations rising to 4.3%. The drop spanned demographics, with sharper declines among lower-income, older, and less-educated households most exposed to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final August reading due August 28, trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket aligns with the latest data point and the limited scope for material revision absent sharp shifts in energy markets or consumer reports.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$35,400End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for August 2026 printed at 51.0 on August 14, down 7.6% from July’s 55.2 and below consensus estimates near 54.5, reflecting broad-based deterioration tied to elevated gasoline prices following the Iran conflict and year-ahead inflation expectations rising to 4.3%. The drop spanned demographics, with sharper declines among lower-income, older, and less-educated households most exposed to purchasing-power erosion, while long-run inflation expectations held steady at 3.3%. With the final August reading due August 28, trader positioning around the 49.0–51.9 bucket aligns with the latest data point and the limited scope for material revision absent sharp shifts in energy markets or consumer reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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