Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park place the August 30 overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiational cooling after sunset, which strengthens under clearer conditions, versus retained heat from increasing afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that could raise dew points and limit the minimum. Model consensus remains close but shows minor spread in timing and extent of any evening moisture, with traders weighing these variables against historical August climatology where lows average near 66°F. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 30?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 30?
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 32%
70-71°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 36%
64-65°F 32%
70-71°F 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
57°F or below
$26 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$15 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$311 Vol.
8%
62-63°F
$357 Vol.
5%
64-65°F
$137 Vol.
32%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
36%
68-69°F
$168 Vol.
30%
70-71°F
$44 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$366 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$40 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park place the August 30 overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiational cooling after sunset, which strengthens under clearer conditions, versus retained heat from increasing afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that could raise dew points and limit the minimum. Model consensus remains close but shows minor spread in timing and extent of any evening moisture, with traders weighing these variables against historical August climatology where lows average near 66°F. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,529End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park place the August 30 overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiational cooling after sunset, which strengthens under clearer conditions, versus retained heat from increasing afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that could raise dew points and limit the minimum. Model consensus remains close but shows minor spread in timing and extent of any evening moisture, with traders weighing these variables against historical August climatology where lows average near 66°F. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,529End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park place the August 30 overnight low in the mid-60s under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 64–67°F. Key differentiating factors include the degree of radiational cooling after sunset, which strengthens under clearer conditions, versus retained heat from increasing afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers that could raise dew points and limit the minimum. Model consensus remains close but shows minor spread in timing and extent of any evening moisture, with traders weighing these variables against historical August climatology where lows average near 66°F. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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