Current forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Jeddah on August 31 likely near 31°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal Red Sea humidity and dew points around 18–20°C further moderate overnight drops, consistent with recent August 2026 observations running 2–3°C above the long-term average low of ~28°C. Minor model differences in wind strength and cloud timing create the spread across 29–33°C outcomes, while probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-27°C reflect tail risks from unexpected shifts in steering patterns or measurement at official stations. Final updates from agencies before resolution will clarify the exact value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 31?
35°C or higher 82%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
27°C 48%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
42%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
21%
31°C
24%
32°C
35%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
82%
35°C or higher 82%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
27°C 48%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
42%
27°C
48%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
21%
31°C
24%
32°C
35%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Jeddah on August 31 likely near 31°C, driven by persistent high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northwesterly winds of 3–8 m/s that limit radiative cooling overnight. Coastal Red Sea humidity and dew points around 18–20°C further moderate overnight drops, consistent with recent August 2026 observations running 2–3°C above the long-term average low of ~28°C. Minor model differences in wind strength and cloud timing create the spread across 29–33°C outcomes, while probabilities for 35°C+ or sub-27°C reflect tail risks from unexpected shifts in steering patterns or measurement at official stations. Final updates from agencies before resolution will clarify the exact value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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