**Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects current official forecasts and real-time observations placing Zhengzhou’s daytime maximum at or above this threshold on August 29, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, show temperatures climbing to 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology in Henan province where average highs reach the low 30s. The market-implied odds embed this data-driven expectation, with traders assigning negligible probability to cooler outcomes given the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as widespread rain or stronger winds. Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-day cloud buildup or measurement revisions from the official reporting station; however, prevailing model consensus and ongoing observations make substantial downward shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,247 Vol.
$6,247 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,247 Vol.
$6,247 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$985 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$765 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$738 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$599 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,203 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects current official forecasts and real-time observations placing Zhengzhou’s daytime maximum at or above this threshold on August 29, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, show temperatures climbing to 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology in Henan province where average highs reach the low 30s. The market-implied odds embed this data-driven expectation, with traders assigning negligible probability to cooler outcomes given the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as widespread rain or stronger winds.
Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-day cloud buildup or measurement revisions from the official reporting station; however, prevailing model consensus and ongoing observations make substantial downward shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,247End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects current official forecasts and real-time observations placing Zhengzhou’s daytime maximum at or above this threshold on August 29, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, show temperatures climbing to 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology in Henan province where average highs reach the low 30s. The market-implied odds embed this data-driven expectation, with traders assigning negligible probability to cooler outcomes given the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as widespread rain or stronger winds.
Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-day cloud buildup or measurement revisions from the official reporting station; however, prevailing model consensus and ongoing observations make substantial downward shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,247End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for 32°C or higher reflects current official forecasts and real-time observations placing Zhengzhou’s daytime maximum at or above this threshold on August 29, 2026.** Multiple meteorological sources, including hourly data and agency outlooks, show temperatures climbing to 30–32°C amid mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies, light northerly winds, and low precipitation risk, consistent with late-summer climatology in Henan province where average highs reach the low 30s. The market-implied odds embed this data-driven expectation, with traders assigning negligible probability to cooler outcomes given the absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as widespread rain or stronger winds. Realistic scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited but include late-day cloud buildup or measurement revisions from the official reporting station; however, prevailing model consensus and ongoing observations make substantial downward shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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