Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 30 indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and no precipitation, producing the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Recent cooling across Henan—with highs falling below 30°C in many areas—has tempered expectations relative to typical late-August peaks, while persistent high pressure and modest cloud cover limit stronger daytime heating that could push readings to 31°C or above. Numerical guidance shows only modest spread in peak temperature, reflecting uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which keeps 29°C and 30°C nearly tied. Updated short-range model runs and local observations through the evening of August 29 will provide the next key data points before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 30?
29°C 50%
31°C 50%
30°C 32%
27°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
32%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
7%
29°C 50%
31°C 50%
30°C 32%
27°C 19%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
34%
30°C
32%
31°C
50%
32°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Zhengzhou on August 30 indicate a daily maximum near 29–30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and no precipitation, producing the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those two outcomes. Recent cooling across Henan—with highs falling below 30°C in many areas—has tempered expectations relative to typical late-August peaks, while persistent high pressure and modest cloud cover limit stronger daytime heating that could push readings to 31°C or above. Numerical guidance shows only modest spread in peak temperature, reflecting uncertainty around exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which keeps 29°C and 30°C nearly tied. Updated short-range model runs and local observations through the evening of August 29 will provide the next key data points before the market resolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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