**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C low in Zhengzhou on August 29, driven by consistent output from numerical weather prediction models and guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF and regional models, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yielding a minimum near 19–22°C; the tight clustering around 19°C reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected precipitation or cloud cover that could moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for Zhengzhou shows typical minima of 20–25°C, so current conditions align with a cooler-than-average night without extreme deviations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour minimum from authorized stations, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could raise the observed low by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 29?
19°C 99.6%
15°C or below 76%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
76%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
100%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
19°C 99.6%
15°C or below 76%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 29, 2026
15°C or below
$35 Vol.
76%
16°C
$57 Vol.
1%
17°C
$186 Vol.
1%
18°C
$132 Vol.
1%
19°C
$384 Vol.
100%
20°C
$181 Vol.
1%
21°C
$814 Vol.
1%
22°C
$306 Vol.
1%
23°C
$402 Vol.
1%
24°C
$247 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$67 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C low in Zhengzhou on August 29, driven by consistent output from numerical weather prediction models and guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF and regional models, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yielding a minimum near 19–22°C; the tight clustering around 19°C reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected precipitation or cloud cover that could moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for Zhengzhou shows typical minima of 20–25°C, so current conditions align with a cooler-than-average night without extreme deviations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour minimum from authorized stations, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could raise the observed low by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,812End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C low in Zhengzhou on August 29, driven by consistent output from numerical weather prediction models and guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF and regional models, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yielding a minimum near 19–22°C; the tight clustering around 19°C reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected precipitation or cloud cover that could moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for Zhengzhou shows typical minima of 20–25°C, so current conditions align with a cooler-than-average night without extreme deviations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour minimum from authorized stations, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could raise the observed low by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,812End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 19°C low in Zhengzhou on August 29, driven by consistent output from numerical weather prediction models and guidance from the China Meteorological Administration.** Recent forecasts from multiple sources, including ECMWF and regional models, project overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, yielding a minimum near 19–22°C; the tight clustering around 19°C reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected precipitation or cloud cover that could moderate temperatures. Historical August climatology for Zhengzhou shows typical minima of 20–25°C, so current conditions align with a cooler-than-average night without extreme deviations. Official resolution will hinge on the verified 24-hour minimum from authorized stations, with final data releases expected shortly after midnight local time. Unforeseen increases in cloud cover or shifts in wind patterns could raise the observed low by 1–2°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given the stable synoptic setup.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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