Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C on August 24, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This figure reflects verified surface observations under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including light winds and typical late-summer humidity, consistent with regional climatology for the date. Traders assign negligible odds to other bins because post-event data releases have already locked in the recorded peak. Only an unforeseen official correction—such as a station calibration adjustment or reanalysis revising the maximum downward—could realistically shift the resolution, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$179,329 Vol.
$179,329 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$179,329 Vol.
$179,329 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$416 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,328 Vol.
No
26°C
$490 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,239 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,081 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,074 Vol.
No
30°C
$15,032 Vol.
No
31°C
$55,734 Vol.
No
32°C
$42,439 Vol.
No
33°C
$30,107 Vol.
Yes
34°C or higher
$19,391 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C on August 24, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This figure reflects verified surface observations under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including light winds and typical late-summer humidity, consistent with regional climatology for the date. Traders assign negligible odds to other bins because post-event data releases have already locked in the recorded peak. Only an unforeseen official correction—such as a station calibration adjustment or reanalysis revising the maximum downward—could realistically shift the resolution, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$179,329End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C on August 24, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This figure reflects verified surface observations under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including light winds and typical late-summer humidity, consistent with regional climatology for the date. Traders assign negligible odds to other bins because post-event data releases have already locked in the recorded peak. Only an unforeseen official correction—such as a station calibration adjustment or reanalysis revising the maximum downward—could realistically shift the resolution, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$179,329End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a daily maximum of exactly 33°C on August 24, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This figure reflects verified surface observations under prevailing atmospheric conditions, including light winds and typical late-summer humidity, consistent with regional climatology for the date. Traders assign negligible odds to other bins because post-event data releases have already locked in the recorded peak. Only an unforeseen official correction—such as a station calibration adjustment or reanalysis revising the maximum downward—could realistically shift the resolution, though such revisions are rare once preliminary reports are confirmed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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