**Recent polling shows Die Linke leading or near the top with 19–22% support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, up sharply from its 12.2% result and 20 seats in 2023.** This surge—driven by strong momentum for lead candidate Elif Eralp, rapid membership growth (now the largest party in Berlin), and weakness in the governing CDU-SPD coalition—positions the party for roughly 28–34 seats under standard proportional allocation with the 5% threshold. **The market remains tight between the 30–34 and 40+ brackets because small shifts in vote share among the clustered top parties (CDU, AfD, Greens) can alter seat totals in a 147-seat parliament, while late-campaign dynamics, turnout, and coalition math add volatility.** No two-party majority appears viable, keeping focus on whether Linke can sustain its edge or face last-minute consolidation by rivals. Traders weigh the current polling lead against historical precedent for late swings and the limited time remaining before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30-34 35%
40+ 35%
35-39 23%
20-24 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<20
<1%
20-24
6%
25-29
5%
30-34
35%
35-39
23%
40+
35%
30-34 35%
40+ 35%
35-39 23%
20-24 5.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$476 Vol.
<1%
20-24
$1,099 Vol.
6%
25-29
$383 Vol.
5%
30-34
$1,693 Vol.
35%
35-39
$1,865 Vol.
23%
40+
$2,829 Vol.
35%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent polling shows Die Linke leading or near the top with 19–22% support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, up sharply from its 12.2% result and 20 seats in 2023.** This surge—driven by strong momentum for lead candidate Elif Eralp, rapid membership growth (now the largest party in Berlin), and weakness in the governing CDU-SPD coalition—positions the party for roughly 28–34 seats under standard proportional allocation with the 5% threshold.
**The market remains tight between the 30–34 and 40+ brackets because small shifts in vote share among the clustered top parties (CDU, AfD, Greens) can alter seat totals in a 147-seat parliament, while late-campaign dynamics, turnout, and coalition math add volatility.** No two-party majority appears viable, keeping focus on whether Linke can sustain its edge or face last-minute consolidation by rivals. Traders weigh the current polling lead against historical precedent for late swings and the limited time remaining before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$8,345End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).**Recent polling shows Die Linke leading or near the top with 19–22% support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, up sharply from its 12.2% result and 20 seats in 2023.** This surge—driven by strong momentum for lead candidate Elif Eralp, rapid membership growth (now the largest party in Berlin), and weakness in the governing CDU-SPD coalition—positions the party for roughly 28–34 seats under standard proportional allocation with the 5% threshold.
**The market remains tight between the 30–34 and 40+ brackets because small shifts in vote share among the clustered top parties (CDU, AfD, Greens) can alter seat totals in a 147-seat parliament, while late-campaign dynamics, turnout, and coalition math add volatility.** No two-party majority appears viable, keeping focus on whether Linke can sustain its edge or face last-minute consolidation by rivals. Traders weigh the current polling lead against historical precedent for late swings and the limited time remaining before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Linke party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Volume
$8,345End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling shows Die Linke leading or near the top with 19–22% support ahead of the September 20, 2026, Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, up sharply from its 12.2% result and 20 seats in 2023.** This surge—driven by strong momentum for lead candidate Elif Eralp, rapid membership growth (now the largest party in Berlin), and weakness in the governing CDU-SPD coalition—positions the party for roughly 28–34 seats under standard proportional allocation with the 5% threshold. **The market remains tight between the 30–34 and 40+ brackets because small shifts in vote share among the clustered top parties (CDU, AfD, Greens) can alter seat totals in a 147-seat parliament, while late-campaign dynamics, turnout, and coalition math add volatility.** No two-party majority appears viable, keeping focus on whether Linke can sustain its edge or face last-minute consolidation by rivals. Traders weigh the current polling lead against historical precedent for late swings and the limited time remaining before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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