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icon for Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner

Tom Tiffany 100.0%

Andy Manske <1%

Eric Hovde <1%

Sean Duffy <1%

Polymarket

$101,268 Vol.

Tom Tiffany 100.0%

Andy Manske <1%

Eric Hovde <1%

Sean Duffy <1%

Polymarket

$101,268 Vol.

Tom Tiffany

$16,384 Vol.

100%

Andy Manske

$5,316 Vol.

<1%

Eric Hovde

$21,779 Vol.

<1%

Sean Duffy

$37,785 Vol.

<1%

Josh Schoemann

$4,669 Vol.

<1%

Tommy Thompson

$4,546 Vol.

<1%

Tim Michels

$3,908 Vol.

<1%

Rebecca Kleefisch

$6,881 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Tom Tiffany secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin governor with over 95 percent of the primary vote on August 11 after President Donald Trump’s endorsement prompted stronger rivals, including Josh Schoemann, to exit the race early and left only minor opposition from Andy Manske. Party endorsement at the state convention and Tiffany’s established profile as a U.S. representative from the 7th District further consolidated support among Republican primary voters. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects this cleared field and decisive primary outcome. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or successful legal challenge to the results remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome before final certification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$101,268
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Tom Tiffany secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin governor with over 95 percent of the primary vote on August 11 after President Donald Trump’s endorsement prompted stronger rivals, including Josh Schoemann, to exit the race early and left only minor opposition from Andy Manske. Party endorsement at the state convention and Tiffany’s established profile as a U.S. representative from the 7th District further consolidated support among Republican primary voters. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels reflects this cleared field and decisive primary outcome. Late-breaking developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or successful legal challenge to the results remain the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome before final certification.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$101,268
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Tiffany" at 100%, followed by "Andy Manske" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $101.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Tom Tiffany" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Manske" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wisconsin Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.