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icon for Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?
Politics·Primaries

Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?

icon for Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?
Politics·Primaries

Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?

$11,038 Vol.

Aug 25, 2026
Polymarket

$11,038 Vol.

Polymarket

≥30%

$2,780 Vol.

99%

≥40%

$1,805 Vol.

93%

≥45%

$222 Vol.

70%

≥50%

$3,873 Vol.

68%

≥55%

$445 Vol.

52%

≥60%

$723 Vol.

18%

≥65%

$353 Vol.

4%

≥75%

$389 Vol.

<1%

≥85%

$446 Vol.

1%

The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed by Gov. Henry McMaster to fill her late brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate seat after his July 2026 death, faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the Aug. 25 Republican runoff following her first-place finish (about 33%) in the Aug. 11 special primary. Trader sentiment centers on President Trump’s endorsement and recent Myrtle Beach rally for her, which have reinforced name recognition and party loyalty among voters in a state with strong Republican turnout patterns. Norman’s congressional experience and earlier primary showing provide a counterweight, while Graham’s limited elected background and a recent debate exchange on foreign policy have introduced some uncertainty. Early voting concluded Aug. 21 ahead of Tuesday’s contest, leaving the outcome dependent on final mobilization in this compressed nomination battle that will determine the Republican nominee for the November general election.

The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$11,038
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed by Gov. Henry McMaster to fill her late brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate seat after his July 2026 death, faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the Aug. 25 Republican runoff following her first-place finish (about 33%) in the Aug. 11 special primary. Trader sentiment centers on President Trump’s endorsement and recent Myrtle Beach rally for her, which have reinforced name recognition and party loyalty among voters in a state with strong Republican turnout patterns. Norman’s congressional experience and earlier primary showing provide a counterweight, while Graham’s limited elected background and a recent debate exchange on foreign policy have introduced some uncertainty. Early voting concluded Aug. 21 ahead of Tuesday’s contest, leaving the outcome dependent on final mobilization in this compressed nomination battle that will determine the Republican nominee for the November general election.

The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$11,038
End Date
Aug 25, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "≥30%" at 99%, followed by "≥40%" at 93%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?" has generated $11K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?" is "≥30%" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "≥40%" at 93%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Darline Graham vote share in 2026 South Carolina Special Republican Senate Primary Runoff?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.