Kim Ahern holds the lead in trader pricing for the September 9 Democratic primary to replace term-limited Attorney General Peter Neronha, though the contest remains fluid with substantial undecided voters. A mid-August Salve Regina University poll showed Ahern at 23 percent among likely primary participants, ahead of Keith Hoffmann at 13 percent, Joseph Solomon Jr. at 10 percent, and Jason Knight at 5 percent, with 46 percent undecided. Neronha’s endorsement of Hoffmann has been countered by Ahern campaign advertising that highlights prior office praise, while repeated debates and forums have allowed all four candidates—each drawing on prosecutorial, legislative, or policy experience—to highlight positions on enforcement priorities and office leadership. Early voting has begun, and additional polling or turnout efforts in the final weeks could shift the narrow margins reflected in current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKim Ahern 59%
Keith Hoffmann 20%
Joseph Solomon Jr. 16%
Jason Knight 5%
Kim Ahern
59%
Keith Hoffmann
20%
Joseph Solomon Jr.
16%
Jason Knight
5%
Kim Ahern 59%
Keith Hoffmann 20%
Joseph Solomon Jr. 16%
Jason Knight 5%
Kim Ahern
59%
Keith Hoffmann
20%
Joseph Solomon Jr.
16%
Jason Knight
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kim Ahern holds the lead in trader pricing for the September 9 Democratic primary to replace term-limited Attorney General Peter Neronha, though the contest remains fluid with substantial undecided voters. A mid-August Salve Regina University poll showed Ahern at 23 percent among likely primary participants, ahead of Keith Hoffmann at 13 percent, Joseph Solomon Jr. at 10 percent, and Jason Knight at 5 percent, with 46 percent undecided. Neronha’s endorsement of Hoffmann has been countered by Ahern campaign advertising that highlights prior office praise, while repeated debates and forums have allowed all four candidates—each drawing on prosecutorial, legislative, or policy experience—to highlight positions on enforcement priorities and office leadership. Early voting has begun, and additional polling or turnout efforts in the final weeks could shift the narrow margins reflected in current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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