David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with 39.81% of the vote to Francesca Hong’s 39.33%, producing a margin below one percentage point. The outcome reflected a late shift toward the Milwaukee County executive after he reentered the race in mid-July with backing from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures. Hong, a state representative positioned as a democratic socialist, had led polls by wide margins until the final week, when questions about electability in the general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany gained traction among voters. Other candidates, including those who withdrew but remained on the ballot, split remaining support. With results now finalized, the narrow margin aligns with trader consensus on the smallest bracket while leaving limited room for scenarios such as a successful recount challenge or delayed certification to alter the recorded outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrowley <1% 99.0%
Crowley 1–2% <1%
Crowley 2–3% <1%
Hong 6%+ <1%
$108,789 Vol.
$108,789 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
Hong 6%+
<1%
Hong 5–6%
<1%
Hong 4–5%
<1%
Hong 3–4%
<1%
Hong 2–3%
<1%
Hong 1–2%
<1%
Hong <1%
<1%
Crowley <1%
99%
Crowley 1–2%
1%
Crowley 2–3%
<1%
Crowley 3–4%
<1%
Crowley 4–5%
<1%
Crowley 5–6%
<1%
Crowley 6%+
<1%
Crowley <1% 99.0%
Crowley 1–2% <1%
Crowley 2–3% <1%
Hong 6%+ <1%
$108,789 Vol.
$108,789 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
Hong 6%+
$13,198 Vol.
<1%
Hong 5–6%
$3,714 Vol.
<1%
Hong 4–5%
$3,377 Vol.
<1%
Hong 3–4%
$11,011 Vol.
<1%
Hong 2–3%
$2,738 Vol.
<1%
Hong 1–2%
$8,472 Vol.
<1%
Hong <1%
$4,537 Vol.
<1%
Crowley <1%
$19,047 Vol.
99%
Crowley 1–2%
$12,835 Vol.
1%
Crowley 2–3%
$9,926 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 3–4%
$10,234 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 4–5%
$2,286 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 5–6%
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 6%+
$4,102 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with 39.81% of the vote to Francesca Hong’s 39.33%, producing a margin below one percentage point. The outcome reflected a late shift toward the Milwaukee County executive after he reentered the race in mid-July with backing from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures. Hong, a state representative positioned as a democratic socialist, had led polls by wide margins until the final week, when questions about electability in the general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany gained traction among voters. Other candidates, including those who withdrew but remained on the ballot, split remaining support. With results now finalized, the narrow margin aligns with trader consensus on the smallest bracket while leaving limited room for scenarios such as a successful recount challenge or delayed certification to alter the recorded outcome.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$108,789End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with 39.81% of the vote to Francesca Hong’s 39.33%, producing a margin below one percentage point. The outcome reflected a late shift toward the Milwaukee County executive after he reentered the race in mid-July with backing from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures. Hong, a state representative positioned as a democratic socialist, had led polls by wide margins until the final week, when questions about electability in the general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany gained traction among voters. Other candidates, including those who withdrew but remained on the ballot, split remaining support. With results now finalized, the narrow margin aligns with trader consensus on the smallest bracket while leaving limited room for scenarios such as a successful recount challenge or delayed certification to alter the recorded outcome.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$108,789End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with 39.81% of the vote to Francesca Hong’s 39.33%, producing a margin below one percentage point. The outcome reflected a late shift toward the Milwaukee County executive after he reentered the race in mid-July with backing from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures. Hong, a state representative positioned as a democratic socialist, had led polls by wide margins until the final week, when questions about electability in the general election against Republican nominee Tom Tiffany gained traction among voters. Other candidates, including those who withdrew but remained on the ballot, split remaining support. With results now finalized, the narrow margin aligns with trader consensus on the smallest bracket while leaving limited room for scenarios such as a successful recount challenge or delayed certification to alter the recorded outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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