Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing 45.1% of the vote against Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (29.7%), Brent Bien (23.6%), and Curt Blake (1.7%). Term limits barred incumbent Mark Gordon from seeking a third term, opening the field. Barlow, a longtime state senator and former House speaker with deep ranching roots, built broad in-state donor support and overcame Trump’s endorsement of Degenfelder plus party committee backing for Bien. The primary results have driven trader consensus to price Barlow at near-certainty, reflecting confirmed vote totals rather than forecasts. Late certification disputes or recounts remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoseph Kibler <1%
Bo Biteman <1%
Chuck Gray <1%
Ogen Driskill <1%
$419,530 Vol.
$419,530 Vol.
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
Joseph Kibler <1%
Bo Biteman <1%
Chuck Gray <1%
Ogen Driskill <1%
$419,530 Vol.
$419,530 Vol.
Joseph Kibler
<1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
Chuck Gray
<1%
Ogen Driskill
<1%
Harriet Hageman
<1%
Tara Nethercott
<1%
Paul Ulrich
<1%
Reid Rasner
<1%
Chip Neiman
<1%
Mark Gordon
<1%
Curt Meier
<1%
Cheri Steinmetz
<1%
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Eric Barlow secured the Republican nomination for Wyoming governor in the August 18, 2026 primary, capturing 45.1% of the vote against Superintendent Megan Degenfelder (29.7%), Brent Bien (23.6%), and Curt Blake (1.7%). Term limits barred incumbent Mark Gordon from seeking a third term, opening the field. Barlow, a longtime state senator and former House speaker with deep ranching roots, built broad in-state donor support and overcame Trump’s endorsement of Degenfelder plus party committee backing for Bien. The primary results have driven trader consensus to price Barlow at near-certainty, reflecting confirmed vote totals rather than forecasts. Late certification disputes or recounts remain theoretically possible but lack supporting evidence at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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