Tom Tiffany secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 95 percent of the vote, reflecting the market's near-certain pricing. Trump's early endorsement consolidated support among party activists and prompted stronger potential rivals, including Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann, to exit the race, leaving only minor challenger Andy Manske on the ballot. Tiffany's congressional record, state legislative experience, and alignment with Republican priorities on taxes, regulation, and law enforcement further reinforced his position, aided by state party backing and limited opposition spending. With the primary resolved, remaining uncertainty centers on any unforeseen post-election legal challenges or ballot disputes, though historical precedent shows these rarely alter certified primary results in Wisconsin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTom Tiffany 100.0%
Andy Manske <1%
Eric Hovde <1%
Sean Duffy <1%
$101,239 Vol.
$101,239 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
100%
Andy Manske
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
<1%
Josh Schoemann
<1%
Tommy Thompson
<1%
Tim Michels
<1%
Tom Tiffany 100.0%
Andy Manske <1%
Eric Hovde <1%
Sean Duffy <1%
$101,239 Vol.
$101,239 Vol.
Tom Tiffany
100%
Andy Manske
1%
Eric Hovde
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Rebecca Kleefisch
<1%
Josh Schoemann
<1%
Tommy Thompson
<1%
Tim Michels
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Tom Tiffany secured the Republican nomination for Wisconsin governor in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 95 percent of the vote, reflecting the market's near-certain pricing. Trump's early endorsement consolidated support among party activists and prompted stronger potential rivals, including Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann, to exit the race, leaving only minor challenger Andy Manske on the ballot. Tiffany's congressional record, state legislative experience, and alignment with Republican priorities on taxes, regulation, and law enforcement further reinforced his position, aided by state party backing and limited opposition spending. With the primary resolved, remaining uncertainty centers on any unforeseen post-election legal challenges or ballot disputes, though historical precedent shows these rarely alter certified primary results in Wisconsin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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