Diplomatic negotiations following the 2026 US-Iran ceasefire have centered on Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, with the 60-day toll-free window under the Islamabad Memorandum having expired in mid-August. The United States has consistently opposed any mandatory charges, citing UNCLOS prohibitions on tolls for transit passage through international straits and statements from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials rejecting fees controlled by Iran or any party. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, while Iran has pursued “service fees” through its Persian Gulf Strait Authority for navigation and environmental measures. Oman has advanced joint-management proposals with voluntary contributions, but US and Gulf opposition remains firm. No scheduled votes, summits, or policy deadlines currently point to US imposition of fees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$969,602 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
August 31
<1%
December 31
4%
$969,602 Vol.
August 31
$178,286 Vol.
<1%
December 31
$104,163 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic negotiations following the 2026 US-Iran ceasefire have centered on Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, with the 60-day toll-free window under the Islamabad Memorandum having expired in mid-August. The United States has consistently opposed any mandatory charges, citing UNCLOS prohibitions on tolls for transit passage through international straits and statements from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials rejecting fees controlled by Iran or any party. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, while Iran has pursued “service fees” through its Persian Gulf Strait Authority for navigation and environmental measures. Oman has advanced joint-management proposals with voluntary contributions, but US and Gulf opposition remains firm. No scheduled votes, summits, or policy deadlines currently point to US imposition of fees.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$969,602End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic negotiations following the 2026 US-Iran ceasefire have centered on Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, with the 60-day toll-free window under the Islamabad Memorandum having expired in mid-August. The United States has consistently opposed any mandatory charges, citing UNCLOS prohibitions on tolls for transit passage through international straits and statements from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials rejecting fees controlled by Iran or any party. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, while Iran has pursued “service fees” through its Persian Gulf Strait Authority for navigation and environmental measures. Oman has advanced joint-management proposals with voluntary contributions, but US and Gulf opposition remains firm. No scheduled votes, summits, or policy deadlines currently point to US imposition of fees.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$969,602End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic negotiations following the 2026 US-Iran ceasefire have centered on Strait of Hormuz transit arrangements, with the 60-day toll-free window under the Islamabad Memorandum having expired in mid-August. The United States has consistently opposed any mandatory charges, citing UNCLOS prohibitions on tolls for transit passage through international straits and statements from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and other officials rejecting fees controlled by Iran or any party. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US reimbursement fee in July before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment commitments, while Iran has pursued “service fees” through its Persian Gulf Strait Authority for navigation and environmental measures. Oman has advanced joint-management proposals with voluntary contributions, but US and Gulf opposition remains firm. No scheduled votes, summits, or policy deadlines currently point to US imposition of fees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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