Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are the dominant drivers behind the tight clustering of trader odds around a 7–11°C minimum in Wellington on August 30. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to strong NW flow maintaining mild advection while allowing radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover, with forecast lows varying between roughly 7–11°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing. This range aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where clear, windy conditions typically produce minima several degrees below the monthly average near 8°C. New observational data and updated model runs from MetService stations overnight will likely sharpen resolution before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 30?
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
11°C 30%
10°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
13%
7°C
49%
8°C
21%
9°C
27%
10°C
29%
11°C
30%
12°C
49%
13°C
8%
14°C
8%
15°C
8%
16°C or higher
11%
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
11°C 30%
10°C 29%
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
13%
7°C
$0 Vol.
49%
8°C
$10 Vol.
21%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
30%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
8%
15°C
$5 Vol.
8%
16°C or higher
$145 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are the dominant drivers behind the tight clustering of trader odds around a 7–11°C minimum in Wellington on August 30. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to strong NW flow maintaining mild advection while allowing radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover, with forecast lows varying between roughly 7–11°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing. This range aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where clear, windy conditions typically produce minima several degrees below the monthly average near 8°C. New observational data and updated model runs from MetService stations overnight will likely sharpen resolution before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are the dominant drivers behind the tight clustering of trader odds around a 7–11°C minimum in Wellington on August 30. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to strong NW flow maintaining mild advection while allowing radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover, with forecast lows varying between roughly 7–11°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing. This range aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where clear, windy conditions typically produce minima several degrees below the monthly average near 8°C. New observational data and updated model runs from MetService stations overnight will likely sharpen resolution before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$175End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Northwesterly winds and mostly clear skies are the dominant drivers behind the tight clustering of trader odds around a 7–11°C minimum in Wellington on August 30. Official MetService guidance and model consensus point to strong NW flow maintaining mild advection while allowing radiational cooling overnight under limited cloud cover, with forecast lows varying between roughly 7–11°C depending on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing. This range aligns with late-winter climatology for the region, where clear, windy conditions typically produce minima several degrees below the monthly average near 8°C. New observational data and updated model runs from MetService stations overnight will likely sharpen resolution before the market closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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