Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Beijing under clear to mostly sunny skies on August 31, with light northeast winds, low precipitation risk, and moderate humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C. This range reflects typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions after a warmer August 30, with small differences among leading outcomes driven by minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact cloud timing across ensemble members. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and recent stable model runs, while acknowledging that any unexpected increase in afternoon convection or wind shifts could trim the high by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
10%
29°C
29%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$14 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1 Vol.
6%
28°C
$27 Vol.
10%
29°C
$120 Vol.
29%
30°C
$68 Vol.
30%
31°C
$9 Vol.
24%
32°C
$47 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Beijing under clear to mostly sunny skies on August 31, with light northeast winds, low precipitation risk, and moderate humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C. This range reflects typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions after a warmer August 30, with small differences among leading outcomes driven by minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact cloud timing across ensemble members. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and recent stable model runs, while acknowledging that any unexpected increase in afternoon convection or wind shifts could trim the high by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$287End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Beijing under clear to mostly sunny skies on August 31, with light northeast winds, low precipitation risk, and moderate humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C. This range reflects typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions after a warmer August 30, with small differences among leading outcomes driven by minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact cloud timing across ensemble members. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and recent stable model runs, while acknowledging that any unexpected increase in afternoon convection or wind shifts could trim the high by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$287End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show Beijing under clear to mostly sunny skies on August 31, with light northeast winds, low precipitation risk, and moderate humidity supporting a daily maximum near 29–31 °C. This range reflects typical late-summer anticyclonic conditions after a warmer August 30, with small differences among leading outcomes driven by minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island effects, and exact cloud timing across ensemble members. Traders appear to weight the tight clustering of official guidance and recent stable model runs, while acknowledging that any unexpected increase in afternoon convection or wind shifts could trim the high by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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