**Forecast models for August 31, 2026, point to a maximum temperature near 32–33 °C in Kuala Lumpur, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and a 50–70 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms typical of the Southwest Monsoon.** These conditions are shaped by an ongoing moderate-to-strong El Niño, which has produced above-average sea-surface temperatures in the central Pacific and suppressed regional rainfall, elevating daytime maxima several degrees above neutral-year baselines. Historical August highs average 32–33 °C, with occasional peaks above 35 °C during strong El Niño episodes, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further influence observed readings. Recent model consensus and the timing of convective activity—often peaking after solar noon—will determine whether the daily maximum exceeds or falls short of recent August values. Updated runs from MetMalaysia and global ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to shift trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 31?
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 17%
35°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C
31%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
17%
37°C or higher
9%
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 17%
35°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
5%
33°C
31%
34°C
28%
35°C
13%
36°C
17%
37°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for August 31, 2026, point to a maximum temperature near 32–33 °C in Kuala Lumpur, with partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and a 50–70 % chance of afternoon thunderstorms typical of the Southwest Monsoon.** These conditions are shaped by an ongoing moderate-to-strong El Niño, which has produced above-average sea-surface temperatures in the central Pacific and suppressed regional rainfall, elevating daytime maxima several degrees above neutral-year baselines. Historical August highs average 32–33 °C, with occasional peaks above 35 °C during strong El Niño episodes, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity further influence observed readings. Recent model consensus and the timing of convective activity—often peaking after solar noon—will determine whether the daily maximum exceeds or falls short of recent August values. Updated runs from MetMalaysia and global ensembles over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to shift trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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