Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian forecasts indicates a maximum temperature in Milan on August 31 of 30–32°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies driven by weak high pressure and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 30°C and 31°C at 36.5% implied probability each because afternoon peak readings depend on precise timing of any scattered cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew points near 17–20°C that limit extreme heat buildup. Recent runs show no major shifts from the prior 24–48 hours, with historical August averages near 29–31°C providing context for the narrow range. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 31?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 31?
30°C 37%
31°C 37%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
37%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 37%
31°C 37%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$1,085 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$9 Vol.
10%
30°C
$14 Vol.
37%
31°C
$77 Vol.
37%
32°C
$18 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian forecasts indicates a maximum temperature in Milan on August 31 of 30–32°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies driven by weak high pressure and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 30°C and 31°C at 36.5% implied probability each because afternoon peak readings depend on precise timing of any scattered cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew points near 17–20°C that limit extreme heat buildup. Recent runs show no major shifts from the prior 24–48 hours, with historical August averages near 29–31°C providing context for the narrow range. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,508End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian forecasts indicates a maximum temperature in Milan on August 31 of 30–32°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies driven by weak high pressure and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 30°C and 31°C at 36.5% implied probability each because afternoon peak readings depend on precise timing of any scattered cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew points near 17–20°C that limit extreme heat buildup. Recent runs show no major shifts from the prior 24–48 hours, with historical August averages near 29–31°C providing context for the narrow range. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,508End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources including GFS, ECMWF, and local Italian forecasts indicates a maximum temperature in Milan on August 31 of 30–32°C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies driven by weak high pressure and light westerly winds. Trader sentiment remains closely split between 30°C and 31°C at 36.5% implied probability each because afternoon peak readings depend on precise timing of any scattered cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and dew points near 17–20°C that limit extreme heat buildup. Recent runs show no major shifts from the prior 24–48 hours, with historical August averages near 29–31°C providing context for the narrow range. Updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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